CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8074ea9ffdf08e851922eb028f1794da05f2a5f4df868757ac8f847a42d75b3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof Astralis, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $357,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $357,393 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Spirit | 66c | 31,893$21,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,075.12 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Astralis | 34c | 20,495$7,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,456.97 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…0664backed Spirit | 67c | 12,025$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000.43 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Astralis | 35c | 12,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,799.97 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Astralis | 33c | 10,129$3,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,738.61 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Astralis | 56c | 9,720$5,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,318.61 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Spirit | 17c | 8,469$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.76 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis | 68c | 8,295$5,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,678.23 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Astralis | 64c | 7,004$4,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492.1 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Astralis | 60c | 6,705$4,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,653.17 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Astralis | 70c | 6,343$4,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.63 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Spirit | 34c | 5,639$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.27 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Spirit | 65c | 5,271$3,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,424.66 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Astralis | 33c | 5,048$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,401.94 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Spirit | 65c | 5,001$3,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,270 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Spirit | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Astralis | 58c | 4,612$2,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.29 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Astralis | 41c | 4,600$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,690.89 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434d…fba4backed Spirit | 69c | 4,456$3,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,058.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Astralis | 37c | 4,053$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,553.56 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Astralis | 78c | 3,923$3,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.87 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Spirit | 65c | 3,846$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spirit | 36c | 3,551$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.4 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Spirit | 54c | 3,500$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.11 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Astralis | 40c | 3,437$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.34 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Spirit | 63c | 3,122$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.06 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Spirit | 73c | 3,013$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.39 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…81c3backed Spirit | 66c | 2,896$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.32 | 159 | 70.4%112 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Spirit | 40c | 2,870$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.22 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Astralis | 57c | 2,856$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.3 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Astralis | 36c | 2,090$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.08 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…60f6backed Spirit | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Spirit | 27c | 2,000$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.5 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed Spirit | 59c | 1,998$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.51 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Astralis | 41c | 1,997$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.29 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Spirit | 67c | 1,871$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.57 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Astralis | 39c | 1,791$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.7 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Spirit | 66c | 1,752$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.43 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Spirit | 62c | 1,645$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.1 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4361…9408backed Spirit | 33c | 1,627$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.49 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Astralis | 25c | 1,516$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.06 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…d1ffbacked Astralis | 67c | 1,495$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.35 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Spirit | 5c | 1,358$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.45 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Spirit | 27c | 1,322$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Spirit | 66c | 1,178$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.58 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27c9…2278backed Spirit | 67c | 1,164$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Spirit | 47c | 1,159$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.42 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Spirit | 38c | 1,151$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.87 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed Spirit | 46c | 1,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Astralis | 35c | 1,083$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.86 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed Astralis | 34c | 1,082$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.7 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Spirit | 24c | 1,056$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Astralis | 64c | 1,029$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.72 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Astralis | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Spirit | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Spirit | 75c | 986.19$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.64 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked Spirit | 54c | 979.39$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 377 | 57.8%218 W · 159 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…ba7bbacked Astralis | 48c | 908.26$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.81 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Spirit | 61c | 900$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…76eabacked Spirit | 64c | 893.9$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.66 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7811…6e14backed Spirit | 58c | 860$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.6 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Astralis | 55c | 849.41$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.07 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Astralis | 39c | 825.39$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.92 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Spirit | 42c | 791.24$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.5 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df9…e49ebacked Astralis | 33c | 791$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.97 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3348…c819backed Spirit | 67c | 751.1$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x515c…fd9abacked Astralis | 43c | 726.26$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.31 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Astralis | 36c | 699.99$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.99 | 298 | 51.3%153 W · 145 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed Spirit | 43c | 680$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.09 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Spirit | 30c | 617$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.98 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed Spirit | 45c | 604.74$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed Astralis | 33c | 599.28$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.51 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Astralis | 54c | 596.11$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Astralis | 34c | 593.44$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.67 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Astralis | 36c | 561.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.72 | 412 | 60.9%251 W · 161 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked Spirit | 51c | 560.77$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.13 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -12.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Spirit | 27c | 560.68$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 173 | 57.2%99 W · 74 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Astralis | 34c | 557.64$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.04 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…72babacked Spirit | 28c | 554.71$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.9 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…b47dbacked Spirit | 2c | 550$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…3c3fbacked Spirit | 65c | 547.69$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Astralis | 36c | 520.44$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.08 | 119 | 28.6%34 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Spirit | 41c | 510.44$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.16 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…3c94backed Spirit | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Spirit | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61fe…0956backed Astralis | 71c | 499.58$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.63 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Spirit | 2c | 450$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Spirit | 21c | 450$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.92 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8897…149bbacked Astralis | 76c | 401.91$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Astralis | 76c | 398.23$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.54 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…5d64backed Astralis | 34c | 382.35$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.35 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Spirit | 19c | 363$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.97 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa83a…34d6backed Spirit | 42c | 354.61$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 203 | 32.5%66 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Spirit | 31c | 352.09$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.53 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0af…3b75backed Spirit | 6c | 345.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6df…1cf4backed Astralis | 33c | 306.06$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.06 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cb…3992backed Astralis | 33c | 303.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.58 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -9.3wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Spirit | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Astralis | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Spirit | 67c | 298.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.