CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce1c4c6b52ea3e77cb8260d3670ea649108093557bd72e0c5f5e06d33d8c95d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,675 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 42c | 30,215$12,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,687.03 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 58c | 12,027$6,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,051.18 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 58c | 5,747$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.55 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe1…622cbacked Over | 63c | 4,603$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 63c | 3,968$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Under | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.28 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Over | 64c | 2,828$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.5 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Under | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Over | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 46c | 1,227$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.26 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 58c | 1,183$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.04 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Over | 42c | 1,091$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.39 | 390 | 38.5%150 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Over | 45c | 1,050$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 298 | 51.3%153 W · 145 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 54c | 1,033$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.53 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 55c | 837.6$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.92 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Over | 64c | 785.5$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 173 | 57.2%99 W · 74 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed3…983fbacked Over | 40c | 771.27$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 52c | 609.29$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.96 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…54c2backed Under | 58c | 465.52$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.52 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Under | 58c | 422.41$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.41 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 44c | 396.13$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.52 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 61c | 379.37$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.86 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…0095backed Under | 63c | 319.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.05 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Under | 58c | 232.76$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.76 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…bf55backed Under | 60c | 225.49$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ff…0852backed Under | 58c | 225.47$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.7 | 204 | 45.6%93 W · 111 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 62c | 212.19$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.56 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e37…cfbdbacked Under | 60c | 206.83$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…9278backed Under | 60c | 205.92$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 79c | 203$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 58c | 196.51$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe285…5754backed Under | 60c | 133.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e4…2810backed Under | 60c | 115$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Over | 50c | 99.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c91…c7ecbacked Over | 45c | 88.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 53c | 84.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed Over | 43c | 83.07$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…0da9backed Under | 61c | 80.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Over | 62c | 80.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 38c | 79.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3e87…4891backed Under | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…c098backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…adebbacked Over | 40c | 75.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 40c | 68.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 63c | 68.03$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 57c | 66.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…78aabacked Under | 60c | 66.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4de…00b4backed Under | 61c | 65.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb898…151cbacked Under | 61c | 64.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 63c | 60.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc110…f3eabacked Under | 63c | 60.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 18c | 58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 55c | 51.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 58c | 50.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726b…c72bbacked Under | 63c | 49.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…1fafbacked Over | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…24c2backed Over | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…8c50backed Under | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…fecfbacked Over | 64c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4373…7c78backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Under | 62c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa36a…1360backed Under | 62c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Under | 62c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c66…5ab3backed Under | 59c | 27.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…fa27backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff4c…59c5backed Under | 55c | 23.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Under | 56c | 20.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 157 | 65%102 W · 55 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.