TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7e37…cfbd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: La Liga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 56 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$46
Spurs vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 118.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$406.03
1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$323.69
Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$299.27
Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.03
Spread: Heat (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$188.97
Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 6.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$74.44
Bulls vs. Warriors: 1H Moneylinebacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$68.46
Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$189.04
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.44
Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$57.51
Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 5.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$155.71
Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 4.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+88.7%+$55.37
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 121.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$37.04
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$24.95
All 15 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-45.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-63.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.36
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$33.41
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)backed Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.19
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+125.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$149.84
SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+138.1%+$162.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$82.73
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+100%+$36.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.19
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+78.6%+$76.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 182.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$20.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide United FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+53.8%+$105.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canada vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 on March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.