NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8be476ec89b6905a80cc49ad88709aa2810a4e4f2bb71d2a9970c1ee45dd5769

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $28,741

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,741 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under	46c	6,779$3,108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,108.21	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,550	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under	51c	4,881$2,489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,489.42	292	43.8%128 W · 164 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over	56c	3,407$1,917 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,490.16	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Over	57c	3,333$1,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,433.18	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under	37c	2,450$907 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$907.2	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Over	49c	1,814$889 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$924.95	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	63c	1,261$794 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$466.53	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over	63c	1,219$766 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$453.27	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	35c	1,075$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.62	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	44c	687.24$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.84	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	42c	512.25$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.7	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Over	57c	492.99$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.98	261	49.4%129 W · 132 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	20c	482.02$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.04	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb888…f103backed Over	65c	479.3$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.75	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Over	49c	408.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.16	181	47%85 W · 96 L	-8.6wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under	21c	377.64$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.9	258	40.7%105 W · 153 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Over	57c	305.47$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.35	291	49.5%144 W · 147 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over	60c	293.37$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.31	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under	44c	285.6$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.44	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e5…b098backed Under	41c	243.9$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	54	57.4%31 W · 23 L	+5.8wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+32.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Under	35c	241.61$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.59	228	46.1%105 W · 123 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb433…6045backed Under	51c	235.85$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.28	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.12per pick	41cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2081…daffbacked Under	51c	235.61$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.16	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	61cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0707…310abacked Under	25c	225.77$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.33	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b8…ab23backed Over	50c	214.23$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.12	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Over	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	337	48.1%162 W · 175 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over	66c	203.34$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.34	476	51.7%246 W · 230 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb87a…63a1backed Over	50c	200.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.16	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+37.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Under	42c	200$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	244	28.7%70 W · 174 L	-22.4wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc3f5…2f1bbacked Over	50c	186.13$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.07	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.17per pick	61cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x679b…745fbacked Under	51c	178.69$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.13	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Under	43c	159.1$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.33	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x31de…9572backed Over	50c	152.13$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.07	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under	46c	137.86$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.76	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	60c	131.46$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.23	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce09…a251backed Under	35c	121.55$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.54	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e37…cfbdbacked Under	35c	120.08$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.03	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f4a…cf21backed Under	35c	119.5$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.83	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over	69c	119.33$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.83	1,554	37.3%579 W · 975 L	-48.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	51c	118.78$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.58	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb81…2dadbacked Under	35c	118.17$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.36	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-2.8wins	-0.20per pick	49cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	47c	112.97$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.69	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Under	43c	107.85$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.38	92	42.4%39 W · 53 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x034c…9d41backed Under	51c	102.65$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.35	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	46cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under	36c	95.6$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.64	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	37c	93.45$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.61	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…10c3backed Under	43c	82.24$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.36	55	58.2%32 W · 23 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under	45c	80.53$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.17	609	45.8%279 W · 330 L	-17.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over	54c	72.92$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.55	880	57.5%506 W · 374 L	+34.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under	44c	72$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.77	464	47.8%222 W · 242 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under	36c	69.45$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.93	931	45.8%426 W · 505 L	-25.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e31…5e8ebacked Under	45c	67.26$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.2	117	48.7%57 W · 60 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over	52c	60$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.8	469	40.3%189 W · 280 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x111c…40a3backed Under	46c	52.41$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.96	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf10e…4c13backed Under	44c	50.46$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.43	209	49.3%103 W · 106 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Over	58c	47.94$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	233	48.9%114 W · 119 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7753…cf56backed Over	64c	45.79$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.48	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	52c	41.25$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.8	1,200	51.6%619 W · 581 L	+66.5wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5302…0a6fbacked Over	54c	39.26$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.06	119	57.1%68 W · 51 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	46c	38$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.48	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb329…2a8cbacked Under	43c	35.79$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.39	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Under	42c	35.71$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	270	50%135 W · 135 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43eb…336dbacked Over	57c	35.15$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.15	59	71.2%42 W · 17 L	+10.7wins	+0.18per pick	53cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xbcc6…095fbacked Under	37c	33.88$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	105	45.7%48 W · 57 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under	44c	32.84$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.45	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under	44c	32.82$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.44	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked Over	66c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.23	482	55%265 W · 217 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over	65c	29$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.18	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under	43c	28$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.02	348	51.7%180 W · 168 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5this page
1H Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Bulls won
1H Spread: Lakers (-7.5)Bulls won
Austin Reaves: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
Bulls vs. LakersLakers won
Bulls vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
Bulls vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
Bulls vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Over won
Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Over won
Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Over won
Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Over won
Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5Over won
Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5Over won
Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5Over won
Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 240.5Over won
Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Guerschon Yabusele: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Isaac Okoro: Points O/U 8.5No won
Jalen Smith: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
LeBron James: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5No won
LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Luka Dončić: Points O/U 31.5Yes won
Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Matas Buzelis: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)Lakers won
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)Lakers won
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)Bulls won
Tre Jones: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event