NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa4c75fcd06be18861143ffca0a1636f8ec29ca4a3284ec3a603d15a4a7ae69c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,904 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 8,796$4,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,331.83 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Over | 50c | 7,772$3,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,886.1 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 47c | 7,490$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,519.97 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Over | 55c | 4,906$2,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.07 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under | 50c | 4,732$2,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,366.02 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Over | 50c | 4,502$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,272.34 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 49c | 4,047$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.53 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 4,022$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.14 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1343…c764backed Over | 50c | 3,961$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 3,446$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.01 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 49c | 2,224$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.32 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Under | 46c | 2,175$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 54c | 2,062$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.26 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 52c | 2,022$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.68 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 52c | 2,005$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.15 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Over | 50c | 2,001$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.6 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 50c | 1,917$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.73 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 52c | 1,564$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.01 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 50c | 1,442$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.71 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 1,293$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.91 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Over | 49c | 1,290$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.9 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 47c | 886.49$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.05 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Over | 51c | 799.88$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.01 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 749.42$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.41 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 51c | 742.39$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.62 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 45c | 720$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.3 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 52c | 695$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.25 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 66c | 620.12$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.22 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Under | 45c | 604$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.67 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0707…310abacked Under | 56c | 598.56$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.41 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…3858backed Over | 50c | 512.73$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.73 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…19acbacked Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.85 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 487.78$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.81 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 51c | 475$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.68 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 19c | 456.4$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.14 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Over | 55c | 364.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.3 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Over | 50c | 352.71$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.71 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 49c | 327.15$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.15 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…2346backed Under | 6c | 299.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 50c | 299.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e95…7db1backed Over | 49c | 280.22$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.91 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 49c | 261$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Over | 52c | 216.18$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.46 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Over | 51c | 211.2$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.49 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 48c | 209.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 258 | 46.9%121 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 50c | 199.66$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.58 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 52c | 197.53$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.37 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 53c | 189.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 43c | 177.47$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.48 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 163.84$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.92 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e3…c09fbacked Under | 51c | 153.9$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.49 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 21c | 149.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 54c | 129.87$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.87 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 57c | 120.56$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.61 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 400 | 53.5%214 W · 186 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Under | 50c | 102.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 50c | 99.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 49c | 87.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a3…2f09backed Under | 52c | 74.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 48c | 64.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked Under | 49c | 61.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 42c | 60.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 69c | 49.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 55c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Over | 52c | 44.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x855c…fa95backed Under | 45c | 43.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 52c | 43.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 64c | 41.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked Over | 55c | 39.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 49c | 39.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x448a…3faabacked Under | 52c | 38.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf2…31f0backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 53c | 37.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 43c | 36.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 36.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a5…afc0backed Under | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…cf56backed Over | 51c | 25.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Over | 54c | 22.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1525…2815backed Under | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd23…f7eabacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe27…c840backed Over | 56c | 18.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Bulls won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-7.5)Bulls won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Bulls vs. LakersLakers won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Guerschon Yabusele: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Isaac Okoro: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 31.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Matas Buzelis: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-10.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-11.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-12.5)Bulls won
- Tre Jones: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.