TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,279

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,279 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x339a…1eaebacked No75c679.99$509 inWon+$170.931,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No51c500$255 inWon+$2455,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Yes49c500$245 inLost-$2451,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd94a…4786backed Yes35c470.72$165 inLost-$1653946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No43c439.61$188 inWon+$251.725840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa839…82e2backed Yes24c420.08$102 inLost-$1021421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes61c409.84$250 inLost-$25012542.4%53 W · 72 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes23c203.22$48 inLost-$47.691,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ba6…dd31backed Yes26c193.7$50 inLost-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+45.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aba…ebd6backed Yes26c155$40 inLost-$40650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No77c154.99$119 inWon+$36.384,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…9723backed No75c136.67$102 inWon+$34.5426069.2%180 W · 80 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No74c135.13$100 inWon+$35.1397049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No75c101.31$76 inWon+$25.3592058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Yes42c99.99$42 inLost-$42.273432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed No77c93.48$72 inWon+$21.4483158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6793…1869backed Yes22c89.71$20 inLost-$207022.9%16 W · 54 L-14.1wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-50.7%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x80f9…925dbacked Yes23c65.5$15 inLost-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c3a…5c97backed No51c60$31 inWon+$29.45451.9%28 W · 26 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+24.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No76c56$43 inWon+$13.4495260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No74c54.5$40 inWon+$14.121,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No78c50.96$40 inWon+$11.3288057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed No50c50$25 inWon+$25.126639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5430…c1d3backed No71c34.48$24 inWon+$1022774.4%169 W · 58 L+22.5wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+15.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No75c30$23 inWon+$7.51,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed No55c28.86$16 inWon+$12.9948751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.