NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9e8b7da7d9ac32387d83fda69d72d0be7c1a7e259627be3626f8a96cf38260e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,735 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xacf2…a2cebacked Over | 53c | 2,993$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa7…5e38backed Under | 47c | 2,964$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d4…30b2backed Over | 53c | 2,889$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1adb…0626backed Under | 47c | 2,828$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9a…5a88backed Over | 53c | 2,776$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…355ebacked Under | 47c | 2,756$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafed…6bdfbacked Over | 53c | 2,668$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…58a3backed Over | 53c | 2,659$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…bf8dbacked Under | 47c | 2,619$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x903d…b6b4backed Under | 47c | 2,607$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4de6…ce4dbacked Under | 47c | 2,593$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985a…49e5backed Over | 53c | 2,382$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 2,213$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.17 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…bd29backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.3 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under | 47c | 1,436$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.04 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 55c | 1,162$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.25 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Under | 43c | 1,044$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.92 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58ae…5be9backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +65%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 48c | 561.95$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.09 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 552.1$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.63 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Under | 42c | 510.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.13 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 502.5$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.2 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Under | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 26c | 492.43$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.37 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Under | 45c | 486.38$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.78 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…915dbacked Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 55c | 360$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 46c | 178.94$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.31 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 43c | 171.01$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.53 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 53c | 137.67$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.89 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 50c | 117.41$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.71 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 70c | 112.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Over | 54c | 112.48$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.63 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 46c | 95.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 44c | 86.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Under | 48c | 71.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x855c…fa95backed Under | 48c | 66.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…77e9backed Under | 44c | 60.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 51c | 55.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0707…310abacked Under | 43c | 48.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 44c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 57c | 42.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Under | 45c | 42.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 192 | 45.3%87 W · 105 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 327 | 47.4%155 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 273 | 45.1%123 W · 150 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 329 | 47.4%156 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 50c | 39.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 48c | 38.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Under | 48c | 33.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 378 | 45%170 W · 208 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 46c | 32.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Under | 45c | 28.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 57c | 25.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc9…c447backed Under | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 57c | 22.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Bulls won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-7.5)Bulls won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Bulls vs. LakersLakers won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Guerschon Yabusele: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Isaac Okoro: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 31.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Matas Buzelis: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-10.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-11.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-12.5)Bulls won
- Tre Jones: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.