TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Lakers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Bulls, Lakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,770,365

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,770,365 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 377 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf6c…7e66backed Bulls0c492,986$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.9959646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a57…2afabacked Bulls17c178,983$31,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,073.218944.9%40 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa491…3177backed Bulls17c75,000$12,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,749.995959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Bulls14c39,263$5,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,581.321,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked Bulls15c30,922$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5008838.6%34 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Bulls17c26,906$4,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,574.0227241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Bulls17c22,225$3,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,844.0641832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls5c20,576$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.064,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35de…0f24backed Bulls0c20,059$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302347.8%11 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb187…bbe1backed Bulls17c20,000$3,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,396.582729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6aee…fad4backed Bulls15c19,680$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003729.7%11 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a84…ffbbbacked Bulls27c18,499$4,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,903.619330.1%28 W · 65 L-9.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Bulls2c18,222$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.2216919.5%33 W · 136 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bulls16c17,506$2,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,821.24,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Bulls0c17,000$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd864…497ebacked Bulls15c14,570$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,212.754042.5%17 W · 23 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Bulls18c13,893$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50024831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Bulls17c13,559$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30035438.1%135 W · 219 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Bulls13c13,506$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7008429.8%25 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Bulls13c12,938$1,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,621.949018.9%17 W · 73 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Bulls1c11,195$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.6664517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb073…9e8dbacked Bulls0c11,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Bulls17c10,600$1,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,806.9424045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Bulls3c10,457$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.771,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb6b…a33dbacked Bulls0c10,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.510914.7%16 W · 93 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick11cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Bulls14c9,899$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.8252460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Bulls18c9,362$1,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,683.3348938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Bulls12c8,455$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.992,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Bulls0c8,443$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.948820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Bulls18c8,000$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.1632039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Bulls1c7,559$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Bulls6c7,365$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.851,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb8…abb4backed Bulls6c7,298$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.88728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bulls9c6,983$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.868,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bulls11c6,582$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.121,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0441…b3aabacked Bulls17c6,500$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.988441.7%35 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Bulls6c6,114$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.7234425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Bulls1c6,000$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.565218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd472…cc7cbacked Bulls17c5,975$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.752236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Bulls22c5,302$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.7726353.6%141 W · 122 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Bulls26c5,170$1,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.451,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x646e…3b1dbacked Bulls17c5,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8506023.3%14 W · 46 L-9.4wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-46.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bulls17c5,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8501,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed Bulls18c5,000$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.9412740.2%51 W · 76 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Bulls16c4,960$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81010225.5%26 W · 76 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls16c4,679$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.984,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls17c4,539$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.964,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Bulls18c4,500$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.2338434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Bulls5c4,339$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.121,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Bulls17c4,140$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70029748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7960…734dbacked Lakers75c4,025$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.073669.4%25 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+36.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed Bulls3c3,882$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047134.2%161 W · 310 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-16.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bulls11c3,872$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.863,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed Bulls18c3,859$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6853743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Bulls17c3,803$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.5155346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a65…fdb5backed Bulls13c3,700$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47322423.7%53 W · 171 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Bulls22c3,646$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.4861939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Bulls9c3,513$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.133,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Bulls17c3,260$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.1914245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Bulls17c3,247$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.912,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bulls17c3,190$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.849,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49e5…03fdbacked Bulls0c3,120$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.42277.4%2 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-89.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ea…6e4ebacked Bulls13c3,062$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.5216146%74 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbdc…9da2backed Bulls12c3,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37013357.1%76 W · 57 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Bulls9c2,855$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.1562539.4%246 W · 379 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Bulls22c2,822$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.7638540.3%155 W · 230 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Bulls2c2,627$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.91,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2545…b5f8backed Bulls17c2,600$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-54.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Bulls1c2,572$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.527211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57c7…b2cabacked Bulls24c2,559$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.581225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Bulls23c2,524$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.3146940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Bulls16c2,500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40072450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ec…53c3backed Bulls7c2,352$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.431752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Bulls18c2,319$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.529635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Bulls18c2,250$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.7561740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Bulls5c2,155$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6238740.3%156 W · 231 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Bulls1c2,090$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.588783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7048…282dbacked Lakers80c2,029$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.87945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…b386backed Bulls5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003946.2%18 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+24.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x54a7…d1d4backed Bulls17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33d…24cabacked Bulls6c2,000$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11619432%62 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8efa…492bbacked Bulls17c1,997$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.49922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Bulls8c1,919$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.857018.6%13 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0707…310abacked Lakers76c1,777$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.216746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Bulls16c1,749$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.9625840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb624…de17backed Bulls6c1,731$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Bulls17c1,695$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.4620947.8%100 W · 109 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x146e…c337backed Bulls1c1,678$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d72…02d0backed Bulls17c1,585$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-70.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5f6…b176backed Bulls3c1,559$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-67%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e4e…4f43backed Bulls1c1,528$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Bulls18c1,510$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.8722637.2%84 W · 142 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…7b83backed Bulls3c1,500$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.111420.2%23 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Bulls22c1,496$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.4242335.9%152 W · 271 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Bulls17c1,430$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.641,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8702…6304backed Bulls14c1,414$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1989026.7%24 W · 66 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c03…d894backed Bulls4c1,411$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.455848.3%28 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Bulls18c1,397$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25093036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0072…3d75backed Bulls18c1,367$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24514738.1%56 W · 91 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Bulls24c1,333$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.2230840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.