TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6c03…d894

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 52 out of 100; worst NHL at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT5848.3%28 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.52
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$784Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$783.68
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,979Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$1,089.82
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Mavericks vs. Clippersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.87
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.15
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.42
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,933Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,932.71
Wizards vs. Lakersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.44
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.27
76ers vs. Nuggetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.18
Bulls vs. Lakersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.45
Nets vs. Hawksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.36
Bulls vs. Warriorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+525%+$131.31
Pacers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$846.17
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+25%+$500
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$2,882.38
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$941.18
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,476Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+177.8%+$4,401.4
Kings vs. Rocketsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$13.14
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+28.2%+$564.1
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$568.1
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$7,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$7,000
Knicks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$31.68
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT3246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Wuning: Mei Yamaguchi vs Zongyu Libacked Mei Yamaguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Wuning: Sergey Fomin vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Sergey Fomin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.36
Miyazaki: James Kent Trotter vs Dan Addedbacked James Kent Trotter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$141.44
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$704Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$972.72
Yokkaichi: Yasutaka Uchiyama vs Dan Addedbacked Yasutaka Uchiyama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,409Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$669.45
Miami Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Billy Harrisbacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,479.56
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,055Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$963.83
Antalya 3: Anhelina Kalinina vs Tamara Zidansekbacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$91.74
BNP Paribas Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$75
BNP Paribas Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Taylor Fritzbacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$70.42
Dubai Tennis Championships: Arthur Rinderknech vs Jack Draperbacked Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,816Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,816.1
Dubai Tennis Championships: Daniil Medvedev vs Juncheng Shangbacked Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$274.78
Dubai Tennis Championships, Qualification: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Jan Choinskibacked Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,412Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,411.57
Dubai Tennis Championships, Qualification: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Shintaro Mochizukibacked Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$535.65
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Mirra Andreeva vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$192.16
Qatar Open: Jakub Mensik vs Zhizhen Zhangbacked Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$152.87
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Antonia Ruzicbacked Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+1,573.1%+$3,043.34
Qatar Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Quentin Halysbacked Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,161Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,161.25
Qatar Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Hady Habibbacked Habib · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$191.78
Rotterdam Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$326.52
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,716Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+29.9%+$811.37
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,321Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,321
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$437Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+150%+$655.11
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolinabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Australian Open Women's: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,620Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+185.7%+$3,008.85
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Browns vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,401Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+31.6%+$1,389.79
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,487Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,487.29
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,035Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+31.6%+$326.7
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.03
Devils vs. Maple Leafsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,841Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,840.85
Penguins vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+85.2%+$21.75
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,376Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,376.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+29.8%+$1,190.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Stormbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,451Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,451.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.