NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4300a603ffbd0e76f5be7cdb2a927ace7b43962b35212567045671cf575cceaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Kings, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,509,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,434,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,509,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Kings | 14c | 1,227,897$169,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169,032.79 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Kings | 13c | 160,000$20,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,799.99 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Kings | 12c | 95,111$11,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,413.28 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Kings | 12c | 54,501$6,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,540.11 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Kings | 11c | 51,684$5,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,895.15 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Kings | 12c | 31,014$3,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,721.7 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…4ad5backed Kings | 12c | 30,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Kings | 12c | 30,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.99 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38c…1128backed Kings | 12c | 28,835$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.76 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Kings | 1c | 27,439$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.33 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Kings | 14c | 20,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe021…e299backed Kings | 12c | 15,900$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe458…3436backed Kings | 14c | 14,286$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c9…cd97backed Kings | 12c | 13,400$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.99 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Kings | 12c | 12,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.99 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0441…b3aabacked Kings | 12c | 11,900$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Kings | 0c | 11,347$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Kings | 12c | 11,100$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.98 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kings | 13c | 10,150$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Kings | 2c | 10,000$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.23 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Kings | 1c | 9,347$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.71 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Kings | 4c | 8,753$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.18 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Kings | 13c | 8,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…649fbacked Kings | 14c | 7,143$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba79…a80ebacked Kings | 2c | 6,454$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Kings | 14c | 6,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b55…cde3backed Kings | 13c | 5,374$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.66 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Kings | 12c | 4,961$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.32 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59e…22b6backed Kings | 11c | 4,550$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.5 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kings | 3c | 3,887$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Kings | 14c | 3,571$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3280…ea74backed Kings | 14c | 3,571$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -11.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Kings | 14c | 3,500$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 91 | 17.6%16 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Kings | 13c | 3,465$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.44 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Kings | 14c | 3,384$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.76 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Kings | 0c | 3,285$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Kings | 0c | 3,267$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Kings | 14c | 3,214$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd07…5ce1backed Kings | 13c | 3,077$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0d…90c0backed Kings | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Kings | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…0c61backed Kings | 0c | 2,955$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Kings | 15c | 2,832$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.86 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Kings | 12c | 2,501$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.11 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Kings | 13c | 2,500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Kings | 13c | 2,214$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.85 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…98b2backed Kings | 12c | 2,196$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.52 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings | 12c | 2,139$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.56 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92db…96a3backed Kings | 12c | 2,020$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Kings | 12c | 1,904$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.52 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Kings | 14c | 1,857$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 161 | 62.7%101 W · 60 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Kings | 12c | 1,749$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.74 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1017…714fbacked Kings | 12c | 1,700$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d1…109bbacked Kings | 12c | 1,600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8076…85f9backed Kings | 9c | 1,536$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 161 | 25.5%41 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…ca88backed Kings | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…17bfbacked Kings | 12c | 1,400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8df…ff65backed Kings | 12c | 1,351$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.07 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c03…d894backed Kings | 1c | 1,314$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ac…91b6backed Kings | 12c | 1,200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Kings | 12c | 1,127$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.24 | 699 | 29.8%208 W · 491 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f63…57b9backed Kings | 12c | 1,103$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.36 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Kings | 12c | 1,050$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 731 | 31.1%227 W · 504 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 4c | 1,031$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.77 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Kings | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x157f…032fbacked Kings | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…9ecdbacked Kings | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe4…e51fbacked Kings | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +55%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8043…c2aabacked Kings | 11c | 914.48$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.76 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…0d81backed Kings | 12c | 900$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Kings | 13c | 800$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc863…d894backed Kings | 13c | 784.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x709d…2efbbacked Kings | 12c | 770$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Kings | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 604 | 44.2%267 W · 337 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Kings | 3c | 730.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…fa35backed Kings | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 341 | 36.1%123 W · 218 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Kings | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…b19bbacked Kings | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5c…9419backed Kings | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4277…6223backed Kings | 12c | 699.97$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd472…cc7cbacked Kings | 12c | 699.96$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e8…6f98backed Kings | 13c | 690$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Kings | 14c | 671.43$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…8e6cbacked Kings | 12c | 641.67$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed Kings | 7c | 626.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb28…02bbbacked Kings | 11c | 600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Kings | 10c | 600$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…8c27backed Kings | 12c | 599.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 301 | 32.6%98 W · 203 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Kings | 14c | 542.44$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.94 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f25…6f07backed Kings | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…f91bbacked Kings | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 401 | 27.2%109 W · 292 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe189…13fbbacked Kings | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Kings | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 524 | 32.6%171 W · 353 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Kings | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 315 | 38.1%120 W · 195 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe75…4415backed Kings | 13c | 461.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…3736backed Kings | 13c | 461.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Kings | 14c | 444.44$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe34…e166backed Kings | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 521 | 37.2%194 W · 327 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Kings | 13c | 404.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.57 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x467d…6737backed Kings | 12c | 401.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Rocketsthis page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Rockets won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Dorian Finney-Smith: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Kings vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5Over won
- Kings vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Over won
- Kings vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Reed Sheppard: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-13.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-14.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-15.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.