NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99ee8b128f410c26168a380ea943614b25bd59245da0d2ad85b264d0b24bf8ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $437,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $454,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $437,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 52c | 213,729$110,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,864.92 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 107,015$51,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,927.84 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 51c | 65,833$33,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,293.16 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 48c | 49,487$23,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,753.91 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3619…a62fbacked Under | 49c | 28,286$13,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,860 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 24,716$11,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,653.74 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…4535backed Over | 55c | 18,370$10,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,283.44 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x608f…553fbacked Under | 49c | 18,102$8,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,870 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -73%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under | 49c | 10,300$5,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,046.83 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6536…ddeebacked Under | 49c | 10,002$4,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,901 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec40…0ba5backed Over | 51c | 9,998$5,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 8,004$3,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,886.25 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 8,000$4,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,870 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,430 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…a369backed Under | 50c | 6,187$3,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,064.21 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 5,877$2,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,857.23 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 52c | 5,050$2,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 48c | 4,321$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.58 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under | 50c | 2,772$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.98 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Under | 49c | 2,737$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.23 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Under | 50c | 2,639$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.5 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Under | 49c | 2,528$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.6 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 2,375$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.19 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.16 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 1,561$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.01 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 48c | 1,419$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.11 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Under | 48c | 1,300$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Under | 50c | 1,146$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.07 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 960.27$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.37 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Over | 53c | 950$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.5 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 4c | 820.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Under | 49c | 799.97$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.99 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 48c | 687.41$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 679$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.92 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 35c | 637.18$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.86 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 46c | 620.61$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.48 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 46c | 604$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.84 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e36…6ce1backed Over | 50c | 566$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 45c | 528.51$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.4 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 510$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.85 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 16c | 449.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.83 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 45c | 417.47$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.77 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 49c | 359.54$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.77 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 51c | 344.98$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.04 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 49c | 299.98$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.99 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Over | 51c | 284.15$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.34 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 48c | 264.01$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.47 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Under | 48c | 209.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…2c69backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Under | 50c | 196.23$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Over | 52c | 193.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.52 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 187.89$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 183.71$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.85 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 47c | 149.97$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0339…1394backed Over | 50c | 144$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Over | 47c | 143.37$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Over | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 48c | 127.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.26 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 124.83$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Under | 50c | 116.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 50c | 110.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…dc8cbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…18dfbacked Over | 54c | 97.55$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 51c | 97.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 50c | 94.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 47c | 94.55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.38 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…5f95backed Under | 46c | 86.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 241 | 50.2%121 W · 120 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 46c | 80.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Under | 49c | 78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 282 | 43.3%122 W · 160 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57f6…fed6backed Over | 51c | 75.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 51c | 72.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Under | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdced…8a25backed Under | 48c | 66.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4b…688dbacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under | 50c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 41c | 51.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x871f…5885backed Over | 52c | 48.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Rockets won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Dorian Finney-Smith: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Kings vs. RocketsRockets won
- Kings vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Over won
- Kings vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Reed Sheppard: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-13.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-14.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-15.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.