NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf65ffc32c5fb06655c80fdcd67c44f6bd7813bd098bf7c8eac203cd1d6d37713
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd12c…f2d4backed Kings | 51c | 75,797$38,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,585.91 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets | 49c | 28,486$13,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,527.68 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 49c | 15,327$7,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,784.06 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Kings | 54c | 11,263$6,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,081.96 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Rockets | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,638.3 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Rockets | 49c | 10,196$4,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200.11 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets | 48c | 9,385$4,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,890.67 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Kings | 53c | 8,088$4,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,286.62 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Kings | 53c | 7,685$4,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,073.23 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Rockets | 46c | 5,352$2,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,893.6 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Rockets | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.04 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Rockets | 49c | 4,765$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430.15 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…98b9backed Kings | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3072…19e4backed Rockets | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Rockets | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Rockets | 46c | 3,480$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.2 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Rockets | 48c | 2,140$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.96 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rockets | 46c | 2,086$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.44 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings | 53c | 1,887$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.35 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Kings | 53c | 1,580$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.28 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Rockets | 49c | 1,431$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.56 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 49c | 1,339$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.02 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Rockets | 47c | 1,278$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.34 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 48c | 1,134$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.42 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Kings | 54c | 1,110$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.4 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed Kings | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Kings | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Kings | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Kings | 48c | 961.54$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.54 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…e904backed Rockets | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Rockets | 47c | 749.98$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.59 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Kings | 51c | 586.21$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.02 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Rockets | 48c | 552.84$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.81 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets | 49c | 516$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.16 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rockets | 49c | 501$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.51 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Rockets | 47c | 424$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.72 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Rockets | 47c | 356.29$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.83 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Kings | 53c | 349.06$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51bc…f2fabacked Rockets | 47c | 312.77$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.77 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Rockets | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Rockets | 49c | 300$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Rockets | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings | 53c | 187.87$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.46 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Rockets | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.67 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockets | 48c | 175.94$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.57 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Kings | 54c | 156.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.77 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed57…83f4backed Rockets | 49c | 154$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.54 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Kings | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Rockets | 49c | 141.71$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.57 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1c…0be3backed Kings | 54c | 134.26$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Rockets | 46c | 123$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Rockets | 46c | 108.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1093…d547backed Rockets | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 97 | 68%66 W · 31 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6135…efa0backed Rockets | 49c | 104$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Kings | 52c | 102$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Rockets | 48c | 99.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0439…3f80backed Kings | 54c | 91.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -7.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf841…b2ebbacked Rockets | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Kings | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Rockets | 51c | 71.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Kings | 50c | 62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…89e1backed Rockets | 48c | 58.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Rockets | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rockets | 47c | 53.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…ac93backed Rockets | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fa…d338backed Kings | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Rockets | 49c | 49.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Kings | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Rockets | 51c | 46.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Rockets | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Kings | 53c | 44.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Rockets | 47c | 40.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1391…9b60backed Rockets | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Rockets | 50c | 39.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…5f95backed Rockets | 52c | 38.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 241 | 50.2%121 W · 120 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Rockets | 50c | 37.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rockets | 47c | 37.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…3c5abacked Rockets | 48c | 31.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 213 | 49.3%105 W · 108 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Rockets | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9d…8d82backed Rockets | 50c | 27.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Rockets | 51c | 26.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53e…1aa3backed Rockets | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e13…2ac4backed Rockets | 47c | 26.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -7.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Rockets | 49c | 21.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-14.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Rockets won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Dorian Finney-Smith: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Kings vs. RocketsRockets won
- Kings vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5Over won
- Kings vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Over won
- Kings vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Reed Sheppard: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-13.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-15.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.