TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf630…7e65

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
419
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Dota2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 54 out of 100; worst Valorant at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT29149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 291 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$623Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$377
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$428.38
Stephen Curry: Points O/U 26.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.73
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.99
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$515.05
Kings vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Spread: Bulls (-4.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$490
Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$549.99
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$508.49
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$365.86
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$459.99
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$530
Raptors vs. Pistonsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$395.49
Spread: Hawks (-15.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$470
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$510
Spread: Lakers (-16.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$470
Pelicans vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$250
Spread: Clippers (-8.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$519.99
Spread: Clippers (-9.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$479.99
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$340
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$370
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$360
Spread: Warriors (-11.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$519.96
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Showing 25 of 291 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT6046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$530
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$470
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$460
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+400%+$800
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$720
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+82.2%+$513.67
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$490
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$460
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$550
Counter-Strike: G2 vs NIP (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$330
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+100%+$500
Counter-Strike: paiN vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+270.4%+$730
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$540
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$440
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$739.99
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$320
Counter-Strike: NIP vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$277.48
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$570
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$379.99
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$320
Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed SemperFi Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+334.8%+$770
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+127.3%+$560
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$380
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.65
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Gonzaga win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.86
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$655Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$337.33
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+98%+$490.67
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 151.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+81.8%+$194.39
Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-6.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+96.1%+$489.99
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Eastern Kentucky Colonels: O/U 164.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$485.71
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-16.5)backed Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$530
Florida Gators vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 157.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$530
North Texas Mean Green vs. Charlotte 49ersbacked North Texas Mean Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$550
Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Cleveland State Vikings: O/U 164.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$62.24
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-13.5)backed Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$469.96
Spread: Colorado State Rams (-8.5)backed Colorado State Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$519.95
Spread: Morehead State Eagles (-8.5)backed Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$529Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+89%+$470.98
Spread: Bowling Green Falcons (-11.5)backed Bowling Green Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$515.46
Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-3.5)backed Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$505.54
Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-10.5)backed Eastern Michigan Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+85.2%+$459.99
Washington Huskies vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knightsbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$278.4
Houston Cougars vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+96.1%+$489.99
Houston Cougars vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$560
Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+170.3%+$630
Spread: Lamar Cardinals (-2.5)backed Lamar Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$550
All 24 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Wildbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$699.99
Flames vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$640
Maple Leafs vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$450
Panthers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$480
Blues vs. Krakenbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+168.3%+$627.32
Golden Knights vs. Red Wingsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+122.2%+$550
Jets vs. Ducksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$450
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+104.1%+$510
Golden Knights vs. Kingsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+138.1%+$580
Avalanche vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$460
Senators vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$439.99
All 11 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick42cpaid-82.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Valorant — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: G2 Esports vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.1
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$507.52
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$570
Valorant: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$430
Valorant: NRG vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$339.99
Valorant: T1 vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Valorant: MIBR vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$194.99
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$360
Valorant: T1 vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO5) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$460
Valorant: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$440
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Women's Final - USA vs. Canadabacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Men's Quarterfinals - USA vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$280
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Denmarkbacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+38.9%+$280
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+152.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Team Shpilit (BO3) - CCT Playoffsbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$159.99
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+257.1%+$720
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuelabacked Venezuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$630
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$390
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$450
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Jailton Almeida (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$590
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$670
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.