TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Legacyof Monte, Legacy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$679,546

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $679,546 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 451 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Monte47c151,942$71,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,274.5722049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Legacy53c130,110$68,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,152.8839249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Monte47c70,000$32,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,772.911741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Legacy54c66,781$36,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,631.4142440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Monte44c54,000$23,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,759.921842.7%93 W · 125 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Legacy56c39,286$22,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,285.994557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Monte46c34,139$15,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,708.0433043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Legacy54c30,000$16,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,80015245.4%69 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Monte44c21,552$9,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,482.7888242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Legacy56c18,627$10,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,247.472453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Legacy54c15,000$8,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,90041649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Legacy53c15,000$7,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,05025842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Legacy56c15,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,6003852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Legacy53c11,381$6,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,339.811,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Legacy78c11,373$8,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,502.2345848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked Monte49c11,090$5,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,482.771942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Legacy56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,40019645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Legacy56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,40036152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Monte49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,899.977940.5%32 W · 47 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Monte45c9,877$4,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,444.6332552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b07…96febacked Monte1c9,654$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.68464.3%2 W · 44 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-74.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Legacy56c9,136$5,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,021.931,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12c0…692bbacked Legacy56c7,900$4,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4766048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e2a…9f7ebacked Monte45c7,791$3,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,505.7320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Legacy54c7,422$4,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4141,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Monte44c7,320$3,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,220.829046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Monte55c6,954$3,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8072240.9%9 W · 13 L-5.2wins-0.24per pick65cpaid-37.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc3c9…b8bbbacked Legacy56c6,730$3,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,961.21947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c4f…0f33backed Monte45c6,500$2,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,904.991250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Monte44c6,457$2,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,840.996555.4%36 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed Monte46c6,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,749.9912441.1%51 W · 73 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Monte47c5,622$2,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,663.3984454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Monte45c5,484$2,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,46815249.3%75 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Legacy56c5,123$2,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,266.443,21751.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L+89.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x686f…ccb1backed Legacy56c5,022$2,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,207.776656.1%37 W · 29 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Monte45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.9814934.9%52 W · 97 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Monte45c4,700$2,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,11519455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Legacy55c4,500$2,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,025.027537.3%28 W · 47 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Monte0c4,478$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.321,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Monte45c4,444$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00017240.7%70 W · 102 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Legacy55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80028538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Legacy55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80013545.9%62 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked Legacy55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80022550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Monte44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.9871645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Monte43c3,648$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550.4737946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Legacy61c3,420$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320.4246949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Monte45c3,333$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50035236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Monte45c3,330$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.535850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Monte22c3,247$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.227,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe692…ea10backed Monte2c3,000$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2917617%30 W · 146 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfedd…be0cbacked Legacy55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.011060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x506b…3f70backed Legacy65c2,846$1,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.256858.8%40 W · 28 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Legacy56c2,787$1,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.44425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Monte45c2,655$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.81250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Monte28c2,551$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.972,05741.5%853 W · 1,204 L-50.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Monte22c2,523$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55547047.4%223 W · 247 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Monte21c2,517$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.3321737.3%81 W · 136 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Legacy56c2,353$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.354,22049.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L+61.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Monte30c2,276$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.793,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Legacy57c2,228$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.321,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed Monte45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010043%43 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x879f…f155backed Monte45c2,169$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.362657.7%15 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Monte45c2,163$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.1520944%92 W · 117 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x991d…c113backed Legacy55c2,149$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.052100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Monte48c2,101$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.975349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Legacy55c2,000$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90516149.1%79 W · 82 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Monte46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9201,08050.9%550 W · 530 L+38.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x866f…d410backed Monte2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406521.5%14 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Legacy56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88026952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Monte43c2,000$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87096740.7%394 W · 573 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Monte46c1,975$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.482,20547.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L-4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Legacy65c1,970$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.7632930.4%100 W · 229 L-21.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x105b…7119backed Legacy55c1,941$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5a6…5270backed Monte45c1,800$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.992634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Monte44c1,640$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.620539.5%81 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc74…eea9backed Monte46c1,600$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Monte48c1,567$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.616047.5%76 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Monte44c1,550$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.991,40833.7%475 W · 933 L+43.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Legacy56c1,500$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.9960748.1%292 W · 315 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked Legacy61c1,458$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.3215760.5%95 W · 62 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Monte44c1,438$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.642142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed Monte44c1,402$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.5136554.8%200 W · 165 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7bd…b013backed Monte14c1,300$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.062236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Monte21c1,178$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.645,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Monte44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Monte44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005565.5%36 W · 19 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+37%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6183…575fbacked Monte38c1,120$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4313240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8918…8f42backed Monte21c1,113$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.211346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Monte46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011343.4%49 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Legacy55c1,082$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.1255236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Legacy54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4606744.8%30 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Legacy48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Monte44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44075350.5%380 W · 373 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Legacy79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21097952.4%513 W · 466 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Legacy54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4606046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Legacy52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4807832.1%25 W · 53 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Legacy55c999.98$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.9910058%58 W · 42 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a8c…f872backed Legacy55c909.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.2717954.7%98 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Legacy53c905.86$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.1587244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Monte45c900$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40576546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.