CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6399c254779f4348819feef99254aa9695155922f6ff7dfbbf500fd26f83c1b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Legacyof Monte, Legacy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,616 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Monte | 2c | 21,223$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.61 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Monte | 35c | 11,417$4,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,009.6 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Monte | 31c | 11,398$3,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,509.3 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Legacy | 75c | 11,310$8,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829.07 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Monte | 29c | 7,512$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.63 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Monte | 33c | 7,498$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,464.26 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Legacy | 49c | 4,134$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108.24 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Legacy | 49c | 3,897$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.76 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Legacy | 37c | 3,272$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.84 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Legacy | 48c | 3,021$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.25 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…96febacked Monte | 6c | 2,200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Monte | 5c | 2,035$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.28 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Monte | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Legacy | 52c | 1,939$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.45 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Legacy | 54c | 1,467$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.68 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Monte | 16c | 1,234$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.4 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba4…f91dbacked Monte | 3c | 1,195$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Monte | 51c | 1,174$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.2 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Monte | 24c | 1,109$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.76 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Monte | 51c | 1,090$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.3 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Monte | 13c | 999.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Monte | 25c | 825.52$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.64 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Monte | 40c | 681.17$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.74 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Monte | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Legacy | 60c | 571.29$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.38 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Monte | 10c | 480$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Monte | 15c | 467$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Legacy | 37c | 466.96$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.61 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Monte | 61c | 417$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.56 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Monte | 62c | 353.95$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.37 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Monte | 20c | 338.35$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed Monte | 66c | 305.44$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.54 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Legacy | 43c | 272.22$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.6 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Legacy | 60c | 231.72$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.35 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Monte | 22c | 231.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 183 | 47.5%87 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb24…fad9backed Legacy | 49c | 202.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.04 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Monte | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe902…eda4backed Monte | 53c | 187.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Monte | 50c | 160.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Monte | 8c | 158.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…ea10backed Monte | 25c | 149.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 176 | 17%30 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Legacy | 56c | 148.98$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.98 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…09afbacked Monte | 60c | 125$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb000…5ca6backed Monte | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed Legacy | 59c | 120$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 195 | 54.4%106 W · 89 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Monte | 25c | 119.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a4…06f5backed Monte | 51c | 111.65$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27e…d69dbacked Monte | 33c | 110$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Monte | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked Legacy | 50c | 99.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Legacy | 51c | 99.67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Monte | 25c | 88.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…b2f5backed Monte | 37c | 87.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…f6bfbacked Monte | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…04cebacked Legacy | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…2d0bbacked Monte | 21c | 62.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Monte | 36c | 60.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Monte | 24c | 59.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 244 | 40.2%98 W · 146 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Legacy | 70c | 54.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3726…8521backed Legacy | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Legacy | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…01a8backed Monte | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Monte | 44c | 47.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…76eabacked Legacy | 52c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Monte | 26c | 44.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…d83fbacked Legacy | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Monte | 55c | 38.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Legacy | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 603 | 58.5%353 W · 250 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked Monte | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Legacy | 42c | 36.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…31e9backed Legacy | 41c | 36.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Legacy | 51c | 30.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 268 | 36.6%98 W · 170 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed Monte | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 214 | 37.9%81 W · 133 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…40ddbacked Monte | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Legacy | 53c | 24.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Legacy | 75c | 18.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2Legacy won
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy - Map 2 WinnerLegacy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)Legacy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.