TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x72c2…5e74

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,046
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Dota2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 55 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT79343.6%346 W · 447 L+38.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 793 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Mentality Monster vs Carstensz (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stagebacked Carstensz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Dota 2: Mentality Monster vs Carstensz - Game 2 Winnerbacked Carstensz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Dota 2: MODUS vs 1p2m (BO3) - The International Europe Open Qualifier 2 Playoffsbacked 1p2m · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Rune Eaters (BO1) - The International Europe Open Qualifier 1 Playoffsbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Dota 2: Carstensz vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Open Qualifier 1 Playoffsbacked Carstensz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$36
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$38.39
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.1
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$14.05
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX (BO5) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX - Game 4 Winnerbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+153.2%+$36.3
Dota 2: Execration vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.83
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Dota 2: Enjoy vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.1
Dota 2: Enjoy vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Enjoy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: D family vs Execration (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked D family · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.72
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Carstensz (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Amaru Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Showing 25 of 793 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT24440.2%98 W · 146 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 244 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.72
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.1
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.8
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$40.8
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Counter-Strike: K27 vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.2
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Abacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19.2
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.82
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.39
Showing 25 of 244 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+112.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 22, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump posts 10-19 times on X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2024, EDT+46.3%+$9.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$124.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$199.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.