TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: K27 vs magic - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
magicof K27, magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,595
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,380

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,595 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2529…548abacked magic54c3,178$1,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,475.343,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed K2717c2,549$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.595,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked K2710c2,500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25061228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked magic54c2,190$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.83,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed K2744c2,125$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.9828248.9%138 W · 144 L+21.4wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed K2737c1,189$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.294,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d87…a82bbacked K2746c1,010$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.285244.2%23 W · 29 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked magic63c1,000$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.221,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked K2747c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47019741.6%82 W · 115 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed magic55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.091,17854.5%642 W · 536 L-36.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed K2750c880.04$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.9345565.9%300 W · 155 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed K2738c851.96$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.776,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed magic60c849.73$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.9887847.9%421 W · 457 L+16.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ec8…e91abacked magic65c766.67$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.672832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-31.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed K2743c737.82$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.991,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed K2745c651.73$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.154,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf917…bde0backed magic70c595.83$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.7512453.2%66 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d42…cde0backed magic72c578.07$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.747152.1%37 W · 34 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked magic55c550$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.528657.7%165 W · 121 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed magic48c523.64$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.2943544.6%194 W · 241 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed K2745c449.53$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.2953746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked K2737c418.03$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.592,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed K2739c408.35$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.5910044%44 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked K2746c401.89$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.512,22347.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L-5.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked magic56c369.2$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.851,26346.9%592 W · 671 L+18.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f79…abbbbacked K2712c368.3$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457018.6%13 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked magic56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1441069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed magic40c334$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.4426134.5%90 W · 171 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed magic55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13545439.6%180 W · 274 L+1.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked magic55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13517148%82 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed K2720c299.73$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9561834.6%214 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed K2747c280$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.632042.5%136 W · 184 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed K2747c266.5$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12442538.6%164 W · 261 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked magic55c263.64$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.6439847.7%190 W · 208 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed magic53c250$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.52,52743.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L+42.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked K2737c242.8$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.842,60552.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed K2744c240.26$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7128738%109 W · 178 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0fb…b170backed K2740c234.32$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.911442.1%48 W · 66 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked magic66c230.89$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.645,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed K2736c217.16$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.491,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed magic74c202.98$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7850341.6%209 W · 294 L+1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid+16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed magic51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0817756.5%100 W · 77 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed magic51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0810355.3%57 W · 46 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked K2734c173.24$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.953034.7%184 W · 346 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed magic59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.499948.5%48 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed magic55c157.99$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.32,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed K2731c155.05$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.541,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed K2747c148.94$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7037232.5%121 W · 251 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed magic39c141$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7710133.7%34 W · 67 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed K2739c138.43$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8819329%56 W · 137 L-23.4wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-40.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked K2715c137.19$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9437441.7%156 W · 218 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed magic65c135.83$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.932,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed K2740c129.55$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6568172.2%492 W · 189 L+120.9wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed magic56c124.3$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6922252.7%117 W · 105 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x300d…780dbacked K2748c120$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.68735.6%31 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed K2757c103$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1550846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked magic74c101.35$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.351,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed K2711c100.01$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1160838.2%232 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked K2747c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked magic54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4623653.8%127 W · 109 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf57c…66febacked K2762c93.19$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58258%2 W · 23 L-6.8wins-0.27per pick35cpaid-76.3%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed magic60c91.54$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.844,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed magic54c91.1$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.91,00748.5%488 W · 519 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed magic55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9138956.3%219 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda39…1865backed magic56c89.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.231861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed K2729c81.55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.782,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x6385…2afabacked K2719c80$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.841516.6%69 W · 346 L-36.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-41.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed K2718c79.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.21,04139.9%415 W · 626 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fbb…7e44backed magic70c71.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8613568.9%93 W · 42 L+14.7wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+15.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf99e…bde6backed K2737c71.43$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4359262.2%368 W · 224 L+21.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed K2733c67.72$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5959044.9%265 W · 325 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce7a…fef0backed K2745c67.61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7514135.5%50 W · 91 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed K2748c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.857935.1%203 W · 376 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed K2726c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.624440.2%98 W · 146 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed magic58c59.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1993261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb00…fda1backed K2747c59.57$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2841147.7%196 W · 215 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b37…039dbacked K2756c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa440…c249backed K2748c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked K2746c47.08$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5427452.2%143 W · 131 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked magic64c41.69$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.018436.9%31 W · 53 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1445…614abacked magic56c41.61$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.469865.3%64 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked K2730c41.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4116946.2%78 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c8f…da09backed magic47c33.69$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.699756.7%55 W · 42 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3a6…52d2backed K2747c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157959.5%47 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed K2748c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531452.2%164 W · 150 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b14…039bbacked K2746c27.85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8111871.2%84 W · 34 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed magic43c27.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7722324.7%55 W · 168 L-21.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed magic54c27.63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6327748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc161…bd88backed magic57c27.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7526657.9%154 W · 112 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed magic56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7950447.2%238 W · 266 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked magic75c22.28$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.572,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked magic67c16.42$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.421,05157.2%601 W · 450 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.