TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: K27 vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
magicof K27, magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$120,050
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$142,851

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,050 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e8c…65ddbacked magic53c9,000$4,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,204.9884454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked K2740c6,336$2,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,556.531,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked K2736c5,729$2,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,074.133,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed K2746c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.9537946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked K2745c3,693$1,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,661.6775652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6dd…40cebacked magic64c3,430$2,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.953778.4%29 W · 8 L+6.3wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked magic55c3,233$1,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.9327658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked K2747c3,191$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50053545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed magic62c2,819$1,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.594,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed magic50c2,000$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.5517460.3%105 W · 69 L+0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed magic54c1,667$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.6748350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed K2747c1,524$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.320249%99 W · 103 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed K2729c1,492$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.076,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed K2738c1,442$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.141,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1844…7eb8backed magic75c1,315$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.092254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked K2731c1,274$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.582,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed magic52c1,173$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.1872453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked magic54c1,171$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.4735940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked K2751c1,100$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.121,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x891a…7cc8backed magic55c1,079$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.568062.5%50 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick64cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked K2746c1,037$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.1755843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed K2747c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47053746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c93…2079backed magic54c999.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4603250%16 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed K2728c946.01$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.335,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed K2746c938.29$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.6197040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed magic67c907.44$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.1910044%44 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked magic73c888$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.761,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked K2741c870.9$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.871,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04e3…69d1backed magic54c850$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3914454.5%24 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed magic73c816.74$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.8887047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed K2730c784.4$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.574,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed magic68c775.48$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.7112651.6%65 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed K2746c763.12$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.0315740.8%64 W · 93 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f49…463abacked magic71c750$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.517945.3%81 W · 98 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed magic54c740.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.7434156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked K2727c722.43$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.0621655.1%119 W · 97 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked magic66c630.5$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.335,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed K2746c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27626743.1%115 W · 152 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed magic49c597.82$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.8257641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed K2724c586$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.892,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked magic49c538$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.3816920.1%34 W · 135 L-16.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-46.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked K2742c533.98$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.7427552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked K2740c524.43$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.748845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9237…9381backed magic77c510.5$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.425253.8%28 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed magic80c509.98$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.5935861.7%221 W · 137 L+18.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2a9…2385backed magic54c506.5$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.991250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…13e5backed K2747c501$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.473545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed magic60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20018442.9%79 W · 105 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked K2747c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23558343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed magic53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2355,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40cf…2748backed K2742c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21016155.9%90 W · 71 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked magic53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23526341.1%108 W · 155 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked magic53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23525070.8%177 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed K2722c499.75$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.892,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked K2741c475.78$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19539157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed magic54c462.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.9648562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed K2724c414.15$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.281,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed K2724c408.83$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9642638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed K2736c406.21$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.0625934%88 W · 171 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked magic55c400$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1828664%55 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e48…f025backed magic63c395.94$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.945072%36 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick74cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked K2747c393$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.7164852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf1…09b7backed magic70c387.01$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.0111140.5%45 W · 66 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2cc…893cbacked K2723c378.15$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1738941.9%163 W · 226 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c2d…dd1ebacked K276c371.8$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3139970.7%282 W · 117 L+38.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbd3a…3203backed magic54c366.37$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.533652.8%19 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked K2728c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10058149.2%286 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ac…2f1ebacked magic54c355.56$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.5627751.6%143 W · 134 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked K2747c350$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.576748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed magic53c339.16$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.461154.7%334 W · 277 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed magic70c328.63$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5918261.5%112 W · 70 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3609…3a0bbacked magic73c324.93$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.981145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+69.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff89…a94abacked magic54c320$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.24434.1%15 W · 29 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed K2746c316.49$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.5913244.7%59 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed magic53c315.16$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.5678348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked magic49c303.93$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.7748319%92 W · 391 L-65.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-46.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe5b6…e762backed K2747c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1415244.2%23 W · 29 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-24.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed K2745c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked magic50c294.1$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.222,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked K2713c283.76$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8942149.6%209 W · 212 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67d3…96cbbacked K2746c283.34$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.34714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick43cpaid-75%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4a2…6fc8backed K2746c283.33$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.33850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked magic68c273.28$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.817,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked K2722c272.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.813,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed magic64c260.61$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.611,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8efe…6704backed magic70c250$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7520562.4%128 W · 77 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed K2747c246.26$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.745444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked K2737c245.32$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5266446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed magic51c240.82$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11828738%109 W · 178 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed K2749c234.69$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11545244.5%201 W · 251 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb221…1301backed K276c233.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-58.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d4d…4f6bbacked magic67c223.88$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.884571.1%32 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick75cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed K2723c222.07$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.948635.4%172 W · 314 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81be…a441backed K2726c221.68$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.742825%7 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed magic54c213.06$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0144552.4%233 W · 212 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x660a…3d22backed K2747c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005251.9%27 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb27d…3cc3backed magic53c207.55$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.5516254.3%88 W · 74 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f3a…d709backed K2722c206.39$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.971330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-51.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed magic61c205.51$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed magic71c204.35$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2625248.8%123 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.