CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25920f823c459ec6f8e6f123a65fbe69f1634a2ec1ab1039696875cd46bb35dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 2,537$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.13 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 46c | 2,065$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.87 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 44c | 1,735$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.76 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 52c | 999.97$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 29c | 699.24$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.62 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 22c | 401.54$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.49 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 35c | 375.73$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.88 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 48c | 316.86$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.09 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 59c | 304.79$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.87 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 58c | 264$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.93 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 66c | 252.38$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.91 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc882…0662backed Over | 52c | 193.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.87 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 23c | 185.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e99…0a26backed Over | 48c | 152$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.96 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5629…50dabacked Under | 48c | 146.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.85 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Over | 24c | 133.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3424…8b87backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Under | 52c | 94.69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 48c | 79.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Under | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Over | 43c | 67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2673…5ac9backed Over | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Under | 53c | 51.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 217 | 41.5%90 W · 127 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e384backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 51.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Over | 37c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 53c | 45.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc407…0875backed Under | 38c | 37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de2…d0e5backed Over | 49c | 34.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 40c | 31.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…304fbacked Over | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Under | 50c | 29.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 49c | 27.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Over | 65c | 24.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagemagic won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs magic - Map 1 Winnermagic won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs magic - Map 2 Winnermagic won
- Map Handicap: MGC (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.