TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: K27 vs magic - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
magicof K27, magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$207,828
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$240,016

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,828 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56c9…0d9ebacked K2780c13,985$11,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,170.1522468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed magic50c8,905$4,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,478.6433343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked magic38c7,474$2,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,620.4914947.7%71 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed K2750c5,555$2,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,777.588242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked magic35c5,383$1,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,475.119540%78 W · 117 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked magic37c4,969$1,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,112.713,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked magic34c4,140$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,724.4124538.4%94 W · 151 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked K2757c3,698$2,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100.542,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked K2756c2,986$1,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,658.883,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked magic34c2,936$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,939.272,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda1a…3407backed magic54c2,818$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.1828960.6%175 W · 114 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked K2712c2,801$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.0961228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed K2754c2,753$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.51,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed K2751c2,251$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.9343544.6%194 W · 241 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd9d…f409backed magic28c2,085$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,492.342944.8%13 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked magic33c1,917$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.6417148%82 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed K2751c1,800$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91825248.8%123 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed K2758c1,642$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.9787047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed magic58c1,586$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.3946345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed K2745c1,400$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.522,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed magic46c1,203$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.3915052.7%79 W · 71 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked K2754c1,100$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.6528657.7%165 W · 121 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed magic58c1,099$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.524,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed magic46c1,070$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.851252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed magic47c1,062$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.731,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked K2732c1,034$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3331,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked K2756c1,001$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.61,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed K2753c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53018846.3%87 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed K2745c890.61$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.971,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf6a…925fbacked K2754c829.57$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.975742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked K2756c815.13$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.231,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed magic47c800.01$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.015,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked K2760c798.72$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.42,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed K2754c746.8$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40041850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40cf…2748backed magic66c713.53$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4516155.9%90 W · 71 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed magic31c698.26$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.414,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked magic49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30694645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed magic52c594.21$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.771,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed K2744c591.81$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.3319329%56 W · 137 L-23.4wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-40.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed K2754c586.4$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.116,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked K2745c579.78$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.023,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed magic51c572.16$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.1647447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed K2769c571.17$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.251,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked magic53c556.6$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.628443.7%124 W · 160 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x692b…1550backed magic46c528.99$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.654961.2%30 W · 19 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked magic45c511.11$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.117,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed K2751c499.99$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.9918442.9%79 W · 105 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked magic33c469.26$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.112,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ca2…5d25backed K2764c435.37$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.817759.9%106 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed magic47c422.38$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.3836749.3%181 W · 186 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x961a…aa6abacked K2759c400.09$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.5627548%132 W · 143 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed magic48c399.99$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.9950846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed magic26c376.01$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.731,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed magic47c368.62$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.3725934%88 W · 171 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed magic42c350$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20324942.2%105 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0695…b260backed magic53c343.96$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.661154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d43…3f6cbacked magic52c334.47$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.5717467.8%118 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8941…3126backed magic31c325.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5515132.5%49 W · 102 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed magic24c322.89$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.0431642.1%133 W · 183 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0fb…b170backed magic48c308.81$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.5811442.1%48 W · 66 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d1…6a15backed magic30c300.86$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.863234.4%11 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6117…2fafbacked magic52c296$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.089856.1%55 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed K2770c287.49$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020462.7%128 W · 76 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked K2754c287.04$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15539847.7%190 W · 208 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed K2733c282.15$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1115743.9%69 W · 88 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed magic39c269.49$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.422,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed K2753c261.71$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14037232.5%121 W · 251 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3600…f72bbacked magic50c260.96$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.9631950.5%161 W · 158 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed K2739c257.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022444.2%99 W · 125 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed K2716c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.260838.2%232 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed K2725c250$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.532136.8%118 W · 203 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked magic47c237.57$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.562,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed magic36c221.19$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.1912027.5%33 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed K2722c214.25$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4727831.7%88 W · 190 L-1.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked magic25c211.46$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.621,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed K2766c210.79$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.061,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c8f…da09backed K2747c210.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009756.7%55 W · 42 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe230…913dbacked K2754c209.48$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1230%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed K2736c208.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.431,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc9f8…e03abacked K2729c204.63$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-61.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed K2758c202$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6338131%118 W · 263 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1522…70febacked K2749c201.9$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5136645.6%167 W · 199 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed magic30c199.98$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.171,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed magic32c195.98$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.8510133.7%34 W · 67 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed magic34c194.98$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.6978348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked K2757c193.87$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.354,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f99…db70backed magic27c185.24$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.2415045.3%68 W · 82 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc056…e188backed K2756c177.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008751.7%45 W · 42 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4527…c4c3backed magic57c173.68$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.68955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed magic52c172.25$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0667372.2%486 W · 187 L+119.1wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed magic48c160.01$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.852,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed K2763c158.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9817756.5%100 W · 77 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bcc…0d8abacked magic11c150$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.521519.1%41 W · 174 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed K2720c149.15$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1362538.6%241 W · 384 L-16.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked K2740c148.65$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8753034.7%184 W · 346 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed magic47c134.92$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.5153746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7268…78abbacked K2721c128.59$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-51.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a72…2087backed magic57c122.98$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.981752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf57c…66febacked K2754c121.35$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65258%2 W · 23 L-6.8wins-0.27per pick35cpaid-76.3%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xf99e…bde6backed magic62c111$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6458762.2%365 W · 222 L+20.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.