TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x961a…aa6a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
442
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Dota2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 58 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT27548%132 W · 143 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 275 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.24
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 4 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.77
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group Cbacked Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$16.37
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$11.52
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic - Map 1 Winnerbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$429.38
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Butterfly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$196.91
Map Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs MOUZ (+2.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$602.84
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs largadosypelados - Map 2 Winnerbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,037Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,036.78
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs WW Team (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Bbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$439.29
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs WW Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.6
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winnerbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$115.94
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.55
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$122.76
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+54%+$45.6
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,163.57
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.75
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$779Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,075.9
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Walczaki (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Cbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,589Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,588.94
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Abacked Infinite · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$638Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$463.95
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winnerbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$467.59
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,390Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+120.3%+$4,079.12
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Dbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$213.84
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Infinite · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$736Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$301.1
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Endless Journey - Map 1 Winnerbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+112.9%+$308.22
Showing 25 of 275 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT9057.8%52 W · 38 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Yandex Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.32
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+126.8%+$410.2
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+93.7%+$106.41
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$156.86
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$124.46
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$60.94
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs KW - Game 2 Winnerbacked KW · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$708Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$707.7
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$377.92
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 3 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$252.69
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$142.45
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$668Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$668.37
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$233.27
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$743Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$742.75
Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$466.49
Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$370.66
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$345
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$416.5
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$282.24
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$155
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$517.5
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1816.7%3 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-31.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.67
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.99
Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.2
Military action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.36
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+443.5%+$163.2
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.02
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.5
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+326.3%+$535.8
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Military action against Iran ends on April 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.79
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.9
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.3
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+156.4%+$240.93
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38
All 18 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$539Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+67%+$361
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.94
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.99
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$108
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$181.5
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$129.08
Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$67.5
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$86.4
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$94.35
Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$61.96
Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+467%+$222.78
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+432.9%+$152.99
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$352.4
Over $15M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$45.6
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$205.8
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$197.38
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$295.95
England vs. Ghana: England O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$182
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$120
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$123.6
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.2
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Mexico vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$188
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+104.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$70.99
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$17.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$94.09
FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.64
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.6
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$82.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+40.8%+$21.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$143.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$39.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.