TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NRGof NRG, 100 Thieves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$278,235
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$312,473

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,235 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee8e…0a7bbacked 100 Thieves39c41,774$16,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,312.3878162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c3f…75cfbacked NRG51c19,163$9,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,378.4513651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed 100 Thieves61c15,150$9,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,288.6854751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked NRG62c15,144$9,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,774.5633153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed NRG34c12,954$4,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,494.349844.9%44 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed 100 Thieves44c11,410$5,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,020.6552155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed 100 Thieves41c9,463$3,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,923.3693148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed 100 Thieves39c8,179$3,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,189.954740.4%19 W · 28 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xede0…ff11backed NRG31c6,250$1,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,339.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+227.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed 100 Thieves54c5,816$3,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,131.6932462.7%203 W · 121 L+31.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed NRG50c5,765$2,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,871.1141537.1%154 W · 261 L-26.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc60f…5b36backed NRG74c5,585$4,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.87450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked 100 Thieves1c4,253$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.76323.1%1 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-46.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked 100 Thieves46c4,064$1,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,862.2668458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d43…ce68backed NRG51c4,012$2,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,974.396445.3%29 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked 100 Thieves49c3,798$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,849.5365559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed NRG62c3,626$2,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.793141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x697f…b756backed NRG61c3,600$2,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.9913345.9%61 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 100 Thieves48c3,365$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,625.1794361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed NRG58c3,333$1,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.867445.9%34 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked NRG40c3,281$1,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,957.1768949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed NRG61c2,965$1,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.335658.9%33 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked NRG50c2,847$1,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.5610238.2%39 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf376…516cbacked NRG79c2,756$2,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed NRG59c2,679$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.569443.6%41 W · 53 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed 100 Thieves64c2,219$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,413.4654342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96bb…f0fabacked NRG46c2,198$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.932462.5%15 W · 9 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+39%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x85a4…9aabbacked 100 Thieves64c2,107$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.82666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed 100 Thieves51c2,016$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.0453159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2185…e3e0backed 100 Thieves14c2,005$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.33425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed NRG61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78024946.2%115 W · 134 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x877e…8c95backed 100 Thieves37c1,954$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.559142.9%39 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked NRG62c1,759$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.42653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46f1…701fbacked 100 Thieves41c1,693$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.19450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+179.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed NRG32c1,601$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.6626050%130 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7e8…4f4bbacked NRG37c1,560$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9838950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93af…32abbacked 100 Thieves61c1,549$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.486852.9%36 W · 32 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked NRG60c1,477$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.352744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba58…6d74backed NRG62c1,261$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.0225555.7%142 W · 113 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed 100 Thieves47c1,211$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.5411258%65 W · 47 L+12.8wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed NRG60c1,209$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.455251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed NRG58c1,200$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50428548.4%138 W · 147 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed NRG41c1,163$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.6519847%93 W · 105 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed NRG37c1,080$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.47934.2%27 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf80…97ebbacked 100 Thieves39c1,079$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4211747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8227…0bccbacked NRG56c1,076$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.443551.4%18 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked 100 Thieves47c1,015$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.9510455.8%58 W · 46 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked 100 Thieves38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3806445.3%29 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2f9…db30backed 100 Thieves60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked 100 Thieves39c981.36$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.733253.1%17 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+57.4%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed 100 Thieves30c887.16$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.8633346.5%155 W · 178 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed NRG51c858.78$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.249859.2%58 W · 40 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xce42…5cddbacked 100 Thieves19c849.68$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.165856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed 100 Thieves51c835.77$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.6870251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed NRG44c833.06$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46337545.6%171 W · 204 L-1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed NRG72c787.92$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.35855.2%32 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b60…5c4ebacked NRG61c781.8$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.910333%34 W · 69 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf21d…922bbacked 100 Thieves12c776.77$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.596063.3%38 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed 100 Thieves29c770.05$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.6528541.1%117 W · 168 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d1e…8f0cbacked NRG42c750$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4da5…e32ebacked 100 Thieves39c717.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.255957.6%34 W · 25 L+10.9wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+54.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed NRG50c697.91$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.715032%16 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x115f…e217backed 100 Thieves63c684.46$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.2190%0 W · 9 L-4.2wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x2984…0fc6backed NRG62c666.33$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.296056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked 100 Thieves39c617.56$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.8529733.3%99 W · 198 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 100 Thieves53c548.88$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.571,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed NRG79c530.62$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.7922455.4%124 W · 100 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf04…ad65backed NRG66c526.46$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.5328541.1%117 W · 168 L-26.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 100 Thieves52c514.68$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.611,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d91…c930backed 100 Thieves7c513.35$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4421257.1%121 W · 91 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed 100 Thieves17c512.06$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4542840%171 W · 257 L-22.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked 100 Thieves19c511.52$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.136317.5%11 W · 52 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed NRG62c501.3$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.515942.1%67 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked NRG59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20536648.4%177 W · 189 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d6…8f66backed 100 Thieves39c494.05$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.683154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c55…ad47backed NRG40c482$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.14933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed NRG36c481.91$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.439837.8%37 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked NRG61c464.29$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.075052%26 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed 100 Thieves44c417.81$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.8416041.9%67 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5668…eababacked NRG52c416.99$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.321631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked 100 Thieves54c368.07$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.2631153.1%165 W · 146 L+15.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed 100 Thieves61c360.75$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.981,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed NRG59c340$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.418049.4%89 W · 91 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87c0…244ebacked NRG49c330.08$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.78343.4%36 W · 47 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b7…3798backed NRG62c315.23$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.7918952.4%99 W · 90 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed NRG62c315.23$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.7934857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb0…ed25backed 100 Thieves9c298.77$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed NRG53c296.14$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.0234739.8%138 W · 209 L-13.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed NRG38c285.09$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.767044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed 100 Thieves30c278.36$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.45475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed 100 Thieves53c276.69$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.9824250.4%122 W · 120 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked 100 Thieves25c264.24$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5415833.5%53 W · 105 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked 100 Thieves26c264$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.739238%35 W · 57 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed 100 Thieves54c262.6$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.8820248%97 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c17…f4f0backed 100 Thieves39c260$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.44562.2%28 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x095b…8a05backed NRG56c250$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a9…516abacked NRG59c250$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed NRG48c250$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1292646.2%12 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+37.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ae8…7025backed 100 Thieves39c240.85$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.931154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick29cpaid+82.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x542b…8aa7backed 100 Thieves11c235.83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+100%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.