TailMyPicks
Market

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NRGof NRG, 100 Thieves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,248
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,214

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,248 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfdc0…4b85backed NRG64c3,957$2,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.6293248.1%448 W · 484 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked NRG66c3,430$2,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.9494361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b90…f361backed 100 Thieves59c3,319$1,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950.51966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed 100 Thieves45c2,750$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.532047.8%153 W · 167 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed NRG54c2,741$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.1852455.2%289 W · 235 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked 100 Thieves32c2,738$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.9968949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc60f…5b36backed NRG55c2,578$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.3450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked NRG65c2,286$1,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.231153.1%165 W · 146 L+15.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked 100 Thieves46c2,103$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.613638.9%14 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked NRG54c1,820$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.822744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked NRG56c1,500$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66014152.5%74 W · 67 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed 100 Thieves45c1,365$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.456654.5%36 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked 100 Thieves30c1,153$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.461,36538.9%531 W · 834 L-60.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked NRG62c1,127$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.4265559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed NRG43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57026050%130 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed NRG58c947.37$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.353159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked 100 Thieves44c803.87$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.778162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed 100 Thieves25c799.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked NRG56c770.7$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.5768458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed NRG48c734.91$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.4715553.5%83 W · 72 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf80…97ebbacked 100 Thieves45c669.98$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.491747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed 100 Thieves26c645.33$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.311,28132.1%411 W · 870 L-67.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf376…516cbacked NRG72c614.5$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed NRG51c577.04$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.1428151.6%145 W · 136 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2f9…db30backed NRG42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2903745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed NRG53c452.91$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.8754851.1%280 W · 268 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd421…7155backed 100 Thieves46c418.35$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.55850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed NRG55c407.93$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.19859.2%58 W · 40 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b60…5c4ebacked 100 Thieves47c387.27$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.9210333%34 W · 69 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed NRG65c384.02$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.8329151.5%150 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed 100 Thieves47c383.65$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.0842840%171 W · 257 L-22.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked 100 Thieves30c379.82$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4640731.7%129 W · 278 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb515…cd6bbacked 100 Thieves55c355.39$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.589148.4%44 W · 47 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde1d…c645backed NRG58c337.24$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.992138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce42…5cddbacked NRG61c319.31$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.975856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1db5…aee3backed NRG58c308.52$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.581136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed NRG63c290.9$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.63475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed NRG55c270$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.514645.2%66 W · 80 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked NRG60c259.28$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.7136648.4%177 W · 189 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked 100 Thieves29c255.25$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.710238.2%39 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked 100 Thieves35c255.18$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.931,31243.8%575 W · 737 L-44.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31ab…20e9backed 100 Thieves46c235.97$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.554755.3%26 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed 100 Thieves30c222.78$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5426436%95 W · 169 L-15.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed 100 Thieves18c200.77$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1410630.2%32 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed 100 Thieves42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847252.8%38 W · 34 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked NRG48c199.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9324457.8%141 W · 103 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 100 Thieves31c193.53$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.441,42251.3%729 W · 693 L+49.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea89…476abacked 100 Thieves32c189.93$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.941566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad8f…6b52backed NRG58c188.78$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.621163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x709c…ce30backed 100 Thieves39c187.9$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.68540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed 100 Thieves15c186.37$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3426730.7%82 W · 185 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked 100 Thieves39c170.95$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1415450%77 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x877e…8c95backed 100 Thieves43c147.93$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.899142.9%39 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed NRG54c143.66$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0828740.8%117 W · 170 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a49…4022backed NRG47c143.31$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.05757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef9…7a60backed NRG69c139.99$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.391163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+45.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed 100 Thieves38c125.2$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1522455.4%124 W · 100 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed NRG62c125.07$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8823563.4%149 W · 86 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d91…c930backed NRG80c123.85$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0721257.1%121 W · 91 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked NRG60c112.42$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.681,60737.5%603 W · 1,004 L-75.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fb0…ed25backed 100 Thieves41c103.91$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.637745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3013…279bbacked NRG47c103.2$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7910552.4%55 W · 50 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93af…32abbacked NRG67c101.53$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.726852.9%36 W · 32 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20bf…2be9backed 100 Thieves45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452650%13 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x961a…aa6abacked NRG56c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c17…f4f0backed 100 Thieves51c99.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514562.2%28 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed NRG50c96.55$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3563652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf3bf…147fbacked 100 Thieves30c95.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.746842.6%29 W · 39 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde2a…6bfebacked NRG61c93.2$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.357623.7%18 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed 100 Thieves33c90.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0320248%97 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 100 Thieves42c90.16$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.681,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked 100 Thieves38c86.37$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1516842.3%71 W · 97 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed 100 Thieves46c84.14$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.78062.5%50 W · 30 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed 100 Thieves33c78.19$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0957517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked NRG57c74.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.251060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf52f…b2f5backed 100 Thieves18c69.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed 100 Thieves35c65.21$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0970251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed 100 Thieves42c65.18$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.531,49546.6%696 W · 799 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked 100 Thieves31c63.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7315512.3%19 W · 136 L-27.4wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-62.7%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xb3a4…e8b9backed 100 Thieves46c62.74$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.031662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed NRG74c62.45$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.248625.6%22 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16f8…31e9backed NRG55c54.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.735255.8%29 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b74…cbaebacked 100 Thieves45c53.72$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.187365.8%48 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbfa…27b2backed 100 Thieves32c51.92$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7130%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9501…a052backed 100 Thieves46c50.63$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8487…60d6backed 100 Thieves23c46.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.66616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-36.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18c6…8e8fbacked 100 Thieves43c45.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.453540%14 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed NRG55c44.23$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.912350.4%62 W · 61 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36be…ec68backed 100 Thieves57c42.45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.04366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed 100 Thieves45c42.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7669722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xdb14…9235backed 100 Thieves25c41.92$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.31241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf885…d719backed NRG62c37.83$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.344060%24 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7028…66d1backed 100 Thieves32c36.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.71250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed NRG55c35.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.145349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed NRG71c33.6$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6177929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3d28…87b5backed NRG76c32.42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.782080%16 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc161…bd88backed NRG55c28.61$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.874744.7%21 W · 26 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked 100 Thieves46c27.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8421951.6%113 W · 106 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed NRG45c27.61$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.199438.3%36 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0181…9b5fbacked NRG60c25.65$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2627850%139 W · 139 L+21.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.