TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xaadb…85f9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,057
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: World Politics, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 57 out of 100; worst Valorant at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT42840%171 W · 257 L-22.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 428 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.47
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.17
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.78
Map Handicap: GE (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)backed Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$46.96
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$152.34
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Map Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)backed LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.34
Valorant: LOUD vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 4 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 3 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+87.1%+$94.61
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Map 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Showing 25 of 428 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT25941.3%107 W · 152 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 259 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$486
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Map Handicap: NAVI (-2.5) vs GamerLegion (+2.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+81.1%+$64.87
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)backed Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$212.34
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$56.58
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+190.3%+$66.62
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$57.27
Showing 25 of 259 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT15922.6%36 W · 123 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 159 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$642Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$642.14
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$194.12
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+220.7%+$331.03
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$48.01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$326
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$50.77
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$839Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$838.76
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$278.57
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$42.86
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$365.4
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.8
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 159 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT4918.4%9 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$426
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$767Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$767
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$195.8
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.88
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$179
Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.81
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.68
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.99
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Claude go down 9-10 times in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Claude go down 11+ times in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+1,019%+$356.65
Will Claude go down 7-8 times in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.9
Will Claude go down 5-6 times in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Claude be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.35
GPT-5.4 released by March 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
GPT-5.4 released by March 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+257.1%+$32.52
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+159.3%+$113.07
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3721.6%8 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick24cpaid+21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Woody Allen be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Reid Hoffman be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Hillary Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$94
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$46.39
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+181.6%+$435.73
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.61
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$68
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$95
Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Jan 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Will Mamdani say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$40
US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Trump-Epstein Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+28.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will there be nine or ten announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.08
Will there be seven or eight announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+430.7%+$86.13
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$49.7
Will Trump say "Low-IQ" this week? (January 18)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+152.6%+$18.31
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Trump say "Stupid person" this week? (January 18)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$58
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+50.8%+$20.31
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$83.58
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$88.88
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+31.7%+$12.67
Will Donald Trump say "Maria" or "Corina" or "Machado" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$54.07
Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$46.9
Will Donald Trump say "China" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+94%+$63
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.89
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$35.47
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+275.3%+$222.16
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+354.5%+$78
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+194.1%+$19.8
All 20 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+73.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+306.1%+$577.08
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$434.67
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$471.52
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+239.3%+$79.32
Starmer out by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.69
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.21
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+614.8%+$153.7
Will Keir Starmer say "Labour" 8+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Keir Starmer say "Budget" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.2
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+225.4%+$107.06
All 15 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.8
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$875Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$875
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$28.86
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+526.3%+$184.19
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$218
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+187.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+1,662.2%+$498.66
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+859.2%+$1,691.89
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$457
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41.5
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Donald Trump say "Kiev" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Donald Trump say "tariff" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Donald Trump say "beautiful" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.17
Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.15
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$117.2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$49.47
Will Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$78.33
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$41.6
Will Southampton FC win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-68.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+93.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+85.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Golden State Warriors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$16.02
76ers vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$114
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Canadiensbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$28.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.