CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bf0e310a254502366f7490e3017b67386f78ab1a8d9c64ca5c4c20f074384dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $468,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $523,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $468,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 464 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed MOUZ | 54c | 36,651$19,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,859.46 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed MOUZ | 53c | 33,519$17,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,754.04 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed MOUZ | 75c | 25,010$18,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,270.02 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 22,500$10,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,575 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b8…09e5backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 22,000$10,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,120 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ | 54c | 17,280$9,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,935.19 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf03…5b17backed Aurora Gaming | 0c | 16,131$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Aurora Gaming | 46c | 15,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,899.9 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked MOUZ | 58c | 14,773$8,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,139.22 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 13,895$6,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,252.59 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aurora Gaming | 29c | 12,499$3,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,614.24 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed MOUZ | 57c | 10,224$5,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,410.06 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Aurora Gaming | 30c | 9,459$2,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,813.76 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…23adbacked Aurora Gaming | 46c | 9,000$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,139.99 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aurora Gaming | 21c | 6,826$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.9 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked MOUZ | 54c | 6,500$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 6,256$2,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,877.56 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 24c | 6,253$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.01 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98fc…6e31backed MOUZ | 61c | 6,130$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380.24 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Aurora Gaming | 24c | 5,740$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.44 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Aurora Gaming | 24c | 5,386$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.66 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed MOUZ | 63c | 5,235$3,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.49 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6d…cf10backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 5,195$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.99 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 4,555$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095.25 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf393…9b65backed Aurora Gaming | 23c | 4,441$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.84 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed MOUZ | 71c | 4,228$2,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.24 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked MOUZ | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Aurora Gaming | 22c | 3,971$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.73 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked MOUZ | 54c | 3,689$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.87 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aurora Gaming | 31c | 3,565$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.38 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff93…1239backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 3,341$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 23c | 3,250$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 3,234$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.74 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…893cbacked MOUZ | 71c | 3,142$2,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.73 | 389 | 41.9%163 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 3,092$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.26 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Aurora Gaming | 46c | 3,050$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 3,000$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.18 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked MOUZ | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked MOUZ | 55c | 2,639$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.07 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d32…9dfcbacked Aurora Gaming | 46c | 2,634$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.44 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…b3a2backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 2,600$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Aurora Gaming | 37c | 2,520$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.75 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc16c…a3aabacked MOUZ | 55c | 2,518$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.18 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Aurora Gaming | 24c | 2,461$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.84 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Aurora Gaming | 50c | 2,424$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x535c…96babacked MOUZ | 53c | 2,287$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 2,221$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.64 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6f…959abacked MOUZ | 78c | 2,153$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.63 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…cd91backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 2,110$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.59 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked MOUZ | 53c | 2,071$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.3 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b67…e56cbacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 2,036$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.73 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 2,017$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 143 | 62.9%90 W · 53 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…d98ebacked MOUZ | 54c | 2,010$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…9e0ebacked Aurora Gaming | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…ca86backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed MOUZ | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.98 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked MOUZ | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked MOUZ | 58c | 1,850$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.24 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed MOUZ | 55c | 1,804$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.75 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…08edbacked MOUZ | 54c | 1,761$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.11 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 1,611$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.74 | 258 | 45.7%118 W · 140 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Aurora Gaming | 25c | 1,610$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.31 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 1,600$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 1,524$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.39 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed MOUZ | 54c | 1,521$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.65 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 1,512$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.71 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 1,501$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.79 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked MOUZ | 78c | 1,501$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.01 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed MOUZ | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Aurora Gaming | 33c | 1,474$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.24 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 1,469$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.94 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 1,398$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.19 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…eaf5backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 1,390$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.61 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38d7…af0dbacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 1,339$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Aurora Gaming | 24c | 1,283$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.74 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked MOUZ | 66c | 1,203$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.14 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed MOUZ | 54c | 1,184$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.64 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…2079backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Aurora Gaming | 10c | 1,111$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed MOUZ | 72c | 1,106$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.71 | 227 | 57.3%130 W · 97 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed MOUZ | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2b…20e4backed Aurora Gaming | 21c | 1,090$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.7 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Aurora Gaming | 19c | 1,066$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.82 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 1,055$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.14 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 1,043$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.19 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Aurora Gaming | 27c | 1,003$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.63 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Aurora Gaming | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 184 | 42.9%79 W · 105 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…a94abacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 999.99$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed MOUZ | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Aurora Gaming | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed MOUZ | 54c | 943.34$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.08 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked MOUZ | 61c | 904.14$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.99 | 204 | 58.3%119 W · 85 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 888$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.92 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked MOUZ | 54c | 861.89$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.47 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Aurora Gaming | 46c | 860.87$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 252 | 61.5%155 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.