TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x535c…96ba

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
120
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Premier League, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 60 out of 100; worst Champions League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,180
Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$214
Liege: Lorenzo Giustino vs Miguel Damasbacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,058Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$382.4
Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertensbacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+60%+$300
Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$405.99
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovicbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,578Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.8%+$1,007.49
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Mariabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+101.9%+$236.69
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.98
Roland Garros WTA: Hailey Baptiste vs Xiyu Wangbacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32,723Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$32,723.49
Roland Garros WTA: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elena Rybakinabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+354.1%+$372.12
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Katie Volynetsbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,081Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$1,343.37
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Luka Pavlovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$7,209Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$1,908.04
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockxbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,230.28
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptistebacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,014Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,014.46
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+249.2%+$339.68
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.36
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19,467Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5,174.66
Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Casper Ruudbacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,796Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,796.4
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$87,756Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+26%+$22,798.57
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Liudmila Samsonova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$907Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+31%+$281.3
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$5,252Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,251.56
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15,210Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+31%+$4,712.57
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borgesbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,058Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$784.05
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$919Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$918.72
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,007Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$3,129.22
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$9,064Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,063.51
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,973Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,972.6
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,850Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$1,149.99
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$7,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,019.99
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,598Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$1,411.99
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$405.37
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,487Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$3,165.2
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,120
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$27,715Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+360.9%+$100,013.94
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$63,653Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$63,653.36
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10,147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,147.41
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$6,380Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$1,620
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,337Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,336.94
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$6,770Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$1,953.85
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$75,570Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$30,738.05
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,117.18
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.53
All 19 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$862Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$393.9
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$69,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$69,600
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,440Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$5,856.52
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,037Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,036.61
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$5,556Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+283.4%+$15,743.46
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$6,107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,107.32
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$611.7
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,462Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,461.54
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$5,479Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,478.58
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.73
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.33
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.84
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.63
All 13 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+42.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Cricket — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,091Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,090.74
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,395Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$4,150
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$6,174Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+78%+$4,815.04
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.09
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,030Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$3,045.25
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.78
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$16
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,775Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$1,189.55
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+96%+$2,880
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+109.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$195.5
Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagebacked Lazer Cats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.17
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,493Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,492.73
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,212Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,074.77
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Fisher College (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Fisher College · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,669Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,669.28
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$830Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$830.42
Counter-Strike: BIG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,739Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$998.69
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs The Last Resort (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.89
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75,119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$75,119.38
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42,000
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,478Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$4,303.92
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$394.71
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,663Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,662.95
All 5 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-53%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$7,250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$2,964.58
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.23
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$94,582Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$94,582.28
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+299.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$5,194Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+541%+$28,100.64
Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,266Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$736.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+103.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$547.92
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+306.8%+$795.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+150%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+400%+$41.45
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mateusz Rebecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,391Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,391.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$7,047Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,046.62
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,343Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+98.9%+$2,316.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Denmark win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,759Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,758.79
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$69,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$69,160
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,368Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,368.36
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18,681Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,681.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$7,140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$3,060
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,315Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,596.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,579Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$471.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddybacked Cheddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,258Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,258.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.