TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: BIG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BIGof BIG, 100 Thieves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$225,968
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$251,269

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $225,968 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3719…2df0backed 100 Thieves41c12,700$5,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,179.442147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed 100 Thieves50c11,514$5,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,810.5433343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked BIG55c10,566$5,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,755.413,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed BIG50c6,315$3,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,158.01520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-60%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked BIG57c5,862$3,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,520.052,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed 100 Thieves51c5,501$2,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,825.1438546.2%178 W · 207 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked BIG66c5,315$3,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,804.4650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x535c…96babacked BIG79c4,738$3,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.69837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked 100 Thieves21c4,536$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.626045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BIG54c3,995$2,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.41,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked 100 Thieves54c3,806$2,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,058.84452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed 100 Thieves45c3,797$1,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,696.86030%18 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed BIG58c3,510$2,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.0372453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked BIG49c3,288$1,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,678.697,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60c3…5947backed 100 Thieves18c2,590$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.511330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed BIG50c2,575$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.4328248.9%138 W · 144 L+21.4wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed BIG50c2,191$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.9252951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed 100 Thieves41c2,044$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.191,42333.6%478 W · 945 L+41.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked 100 Thieves42c1,990$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.52,39742.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked 100 Thieves39c1,930$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.5222534.2%77 W · 148 L-19.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-36.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed 100 Thieves58c1,913$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.974,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed BIG50c1,774$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.378862.5%55 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked BIG68c1,512$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.8983652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed 100 Thieves1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15620%0 W · 62 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked 100 Thieves1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151943.6%7 W · 187 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f7b…440fbacked 100 Thieves1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15320%0 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked 100 Thieves1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15751.3%1 W · 74 L-0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc617…25e8backed 100 Thieves38c1,490$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.575655.4%31 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked 100 Thieves38c1,489$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.613441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa644…026ebacked 100 Thieves42c1,378$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.941428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked 100 Thieves44c1,317$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.369047.8%43 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked BIG59c1,312$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.691,79059.2%1,060 W · 730 L+106.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed BIG31c1,213$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.098552.9%45 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed 100 Thieves41c1,115$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.0525042.8%107 W · 143 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x533d…ceeebacked 100 Thieves9c1,110$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.940%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked BIG55c1,072$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.2784454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc105…c1b0backed BIG25c999.99$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.991216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed BIG51c999.11$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.5651252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed BIG51c986.2$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.2425345.8%116 W · 137 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked 100 Thieves44c982.99$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.4730338.9%118 W · 185 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BIG57c974.3$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.246,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked 100 Thieves50c970$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48520458.3%119 W · 85 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa16b…b541backed BIG52c969.99$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.5943954.9%241 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked BIG74c936.35$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.5413760.6%83 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked BIG46c929.54$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.571,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee21…3721backed 100 Thieves25c865.81$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.21030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid+59.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked 100 Thieves49c852.75$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.1210442.3%44 W · 60 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed 100 Thieves44c851.9$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3765,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed BIG58c840.34$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.9498856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed 100 Thieves47c815.38$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.0449646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed BIG21c799.45$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.7657422.5%129 W · 445 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked BIG49c799.06$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.692,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed BIG52c791.25$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.9457641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ddd…1fc8backed BIG56c781.72$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.049557.9%55 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed BIG48c768.72$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.5728434.9%99 W · 185 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd80c…d40cbacked BIG52c747.08$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.61850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed 100 Thieves25c745.26$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.191,28322%282 W · 1,001 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6dd…40cebacked BIG68c722.42$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.063778.4%29 W · 8 L+6.3wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8eb3…2ab3backed 100 Thieves76c713.6$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.072665.4%17 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7a…a930backed 100 Thieves31c693.88$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2162634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3c7…bf04backed BIG53c665.88$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.743540%14 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed BIG70c647.9$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.7323172.3%167 W · 64 L+27.0wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+14.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed BIG55c634.13$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.3621156.9%120 W · 91 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed 100 Thieves43c622.85$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.9746343.2%200 W · 263 L+1.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x961a…aa6abacked BIG40c620.13$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.627548%132 W · 143 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdde9…f432backed 100 Thieves42c604.07$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.07955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0802…abfbbacked BIG77c600$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1361758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a96…4e13backed BIG51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29422358.7%131 W · 92 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed 100 Thieves45c574.72$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.7478043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4fa…4a86backed 100 Thieves31c571.13$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.156119.7%12 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed 100 Thieves43c571$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.862137.7%234 W · 387 L-23.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked 100 Thieves42c564.82$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.4728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked BIG52c551.61$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.72,60552.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed BIG23c550.54$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.4210055%55 W · 45 L+13.5wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+28.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa0b0…ab95backed BIG69c529.64$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.265860.3%35 W · 23 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a86…8738backed BIG77c514.74$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.361376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed 100 Thieves13c505.14$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.671323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-56.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xece6…c4bfbacked 100 Thieves42c494.9$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.86933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed BIG55c469.99$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.550340.2%202 W · 301 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed BIG66c459.87$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15614848%71 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked BIG70c453.6$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.641,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed 100 Thieves21c444.55$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3527831.7%88 W · 190 L-1.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed BIG32c426.09$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.9874239.1%290 W · 452 L-29.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked 100 Thieves31c405.19$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.5535749.9%178 W · 179 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…a265backed 100 Thieves49c395.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8819244.3%85 W · 107 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93af…32abbacked BIG55c394.8$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.710247.1%48 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd067…9b9abacked BIG52c390.29$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.8645663.6%290 W · 166 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf7…6d62backed BIG56c389.44$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.351540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed 100 Thieves33c388.78$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.972,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed 100 Thieves43c388.66$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.1226624.4%65 W · 201 L-26.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed 100 Thieves45c386.12$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.662,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed BIG62c376.32$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.1414137.6%53 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd991…c161backed BIG53c366.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.367652.6%40 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked BIG56c350$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15458343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf7c…4c16backed BIG46c342.88$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.0513655.9%76 W · 60 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…ed8dbacked BIG58c335.11$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.131963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+39.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3fb…2f72backed 100 Thieves25c335.09$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9350%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked 100 Thieves54c334.7$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.8545538.2%174 W · 281 L-29.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked 100 Thieves47c331.59$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.8535744.3%158 W · 199 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked BIG67c317.42$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.178963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.