TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee21…3721

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
355
Categories scored
32
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: Commodities, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 56 out of 100; worst Weather at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT8253.7%44 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.94
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,768Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,768.03
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$616Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$616
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$95
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$125.98
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+55%+$71
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$270
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$130
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$114
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$215
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+917.7%+$2,964.09
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$31.5
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+150%+$120
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.17
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT3444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Will Los Angeles Clippers advance in the 2026 NBA Play-In Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Suns vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Hornets vs. Warriorsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$43.11
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$306
Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$186.2
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$62.4
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Clippers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$178.02
Heat vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$36.67
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+117.4%+$226.8
Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$61
Spread: Magic (-7.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$137.7
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$262
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$198.89
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$105.6
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$490
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+113.5%+$12.28
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$150.16
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$89.3
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$108.09
Spread: Magic (-4.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+104.1%+$100.49
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT2934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+292.2%+$149
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$218.9
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+400%+$160
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.87
Will another outcome occur in the the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.6
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$676Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$224.4
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.88
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.85
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$907Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$906.87
Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$27.19
Will Conservative win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.99
Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.6
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$36
Will Jeremiyah Love be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.99
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,578Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$1,926.84
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,805Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+42.9%+$1,202.09
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$2,120
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,019Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,018.52
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$594.7
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,161Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+37%+$1,539.25
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+92.3%+$923.08
Spread: Patriots (-6.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$590
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$448
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$348
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$900
Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+92.3%+$184.62
Spread: Bills (-3.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+52.2%+$104.43
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Spread: Falcons (-3.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Ravens (-8.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$563Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+112.8%+$634.5
Spread: Ravens (-7.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+96.1%+$500.4
Spread: Ravens (-4.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,772Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$2,361.55
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+100%+$172.5
Spread: Bears (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$119.6
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$264
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$59
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$72
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$182
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.5
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$148
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$148
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$61.02
Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?backed Bitcoin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
All 18 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$32.5
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.2
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.65
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Palo Alto Networks Q3 Next-Generation Security ARR be above $8.0B?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.2
Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$65.14
ChatGPT Outage by April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$61.99
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+185.7%+$130
All 18 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-4.5)backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$530.8
Arizona vs. SMU Mustangsbacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$144.63
Spread: Navy (-7.5)backed Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$215
Spread: Georgia (-6.5)backed Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$192.98
Ole Miss vs. Georgia: O/U 54.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+117.4%+$169.68
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$347.98
Spread: Oregon (-2.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$116.17
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$116.1
Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$189.81
Spread: Texas (-6.5)backed Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$116.33
Spread: Texas (-7.5)backed Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$116.89
Spread: Duke (-3.5)backed Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$115.85
Spread: Vanderbilt (-4.5)backed Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+92.3%+$151.83
Spread: Vanderbilt (-6.5)backed Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+75.4%+$168.44
Spread: USC (-6.5)backed TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+85.2%+$188.59
Spread: Tennessee (-3.5)backed Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$185.69
Spread: Louisiana Tech (-10.5)backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$99.03
All 17 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$20.17
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 15m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.25
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Beyoncé be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.3
Will Sabrina Carpenter be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.12
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+142.4%+$117.49
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27
Will "Sinners" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$35.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-31.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Devils vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+100%+$40
Canucks vs. Sabresbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Wild vs. Kingsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Red Wings vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$63.8
Utah vs. Rangersbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$64.62
Maple Leafs vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+104.1%+$57.24
Avalanche vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Jets vs. Senatorsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Canadiens vs. Bluesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Utah vs. Devilsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Penguins vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Devils vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+122.2%+$121
All 12 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.30per pick49cpaid-68.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on April 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on April 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on April 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.99
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22
Will there be 14–16 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid+59.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BIG qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.57
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+447.8%+$236.63
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$222.5
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Abacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.5
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte (BO5) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.26
Counter-Strike: BIG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.2
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.5
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.38
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-39.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.84
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
Will GMR Solutions' market cap be less than $4.5B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Will Fervo Energy's market cap be between $8.5B and $10.0B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Will SUJA LIFE's market cap be between $0.8B and $1B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Will HawkEye 360's market cap be between $2.5B and $3.25B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
All 8 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+21.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-49.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-71%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+72.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15.68
Sevilla FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$130
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$66.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$284.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menerybacked Menery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$126
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.