Music · resolved market
Kanye blocked from entering the UK by May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0f721b6a0b1dda4996a13f4614c3d6251c81c826aa9f56fbfb84eef67c8ece1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…b89fbacked No | 1c | 1,761$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 1c | 1,368$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bf…4bd1backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed No | 40c | 965.36$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 79c | 642.6$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…17a6backed Yes | 58c | 620.48$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 4c | 580$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x233b…1f2cbacked Yes | 56c | 426.59$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked No | 51c | 383.08$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 49c | 326.21$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64d…5e09backed No | 6c | 301.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes | 67c | 289.91$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e46…24debacked No | 55c | 287.8$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 23c | 259.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa095…6040backed No | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6f…0e5fbacked No | 11c | 220$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…72e4backed No | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…cfb7backed No | 18c | 199.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9baa…e295backed No | 37c | 195.73$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 45c | 172.39$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.36 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca7…04d4backed No | 55c | 140.2$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 18c | 114.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x491b…9aa2backed No | 17c | 113.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…dcf7backed No | 33c | 108.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…dbbfbacked No | 36c | 101.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ef…4535backed No | 30c | 93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed No | 36c | 78.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…52cabacked No | 18c | 68.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd482…355dbacked No | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked No | 21c | 49.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…803ebacked Yes | 44c | 46.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b69…42cfbacked Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…6694backed No | 54c | 32.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 70c | 31.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…376cbacked No | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0a…ccdcbacked Yes | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…1852backed Yes | 36c | 29.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 66c | 20.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…ed24backed Yes | 76c | 20.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94ec…b604backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af7…8d1dbacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c9…348cbacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a1…632bbacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8715…e323backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…3a86backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…3896backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…aafabacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…b933backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49aa…b082backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb735…47f5backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8d…692abacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc6…1e44backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…4036backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…7286backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…359dbacked Yes | 65c | 16.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.