TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x385e…3896

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
392
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Music, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Music at 54 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT11839%46 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 118 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$128.57
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.18
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$27.52
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+150%+$43.38
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.25
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.05
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.12
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.72
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$64.01
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.63
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22.95
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.38
Showing 25 of 118 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT11747%55 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 117 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.54
Will the announcers say "Vertical" or "Verticality" during the France vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the announcers say "Golden Goal" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+102%+$51.01
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$138.67
Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the Switzerland vs Colombia FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Switzerland vs Colombia FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+214.7%+$30.7
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Will the announcers say "Foul" 5+ times during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Showing 25 of 117 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.99
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$81.92
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.96
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.58
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+203%+$97.43
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.09
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.09
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.81
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$444.93
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$106.25
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+150%+$37.5
AS Monaco FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+143.9%+$21.59
FC Barcelona vs. FC København: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
SSC Napoli vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$23.08
Páfos FC vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.37
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.63
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.42
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$25.85
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)backed Athletic Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.92
RCD Mallorca vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.09
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will CA Osasuna vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Levante UD vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+194.1%+$48.53
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)backed Athletic Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)backed Real Betis Balompié · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+257.1%+$128.57
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+194.1%+$97.06
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+114.1%+$74.6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 25 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 27?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$17.8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$64
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.1
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$72
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 9?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 13?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.71
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 13?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$294
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 9?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.05
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 9?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 8?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$37.6
NYMEX Crude Oil Futures (WTI) (CL=F) Up or Down on November 3?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20.5
All 19 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.4
Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.8B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.4
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.6
Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.55B?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.8
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$45.6
Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $9.0B in Q3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Will Elon Musk testify against Altman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
ChatGPT Outage by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+28.2%+$44
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-41.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+39.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wemby Cry During the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$29.48
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$21.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will XLG Esports be the Last VCT CN Team Standing at EWC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$16.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wyndham Clark lead the 2026 U.S. Open following the third round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$15.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Altcoin market cap dip to $160B by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of November 10 above $197?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+32.5%+$24.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+29.6%+$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$125
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.