Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x504e68e42955d78da9db562993f3f46e39a24a0dd5def9fbd4fad2152cc007fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunderland AFCof Aston Villa FC, Sunderland AFC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sunderland AFC | 60c | 6,171$3,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.32 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Aston Villa FC | 30c | 4,784$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.03 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Aston Villa FC | 22c | 2,500$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Aston Villa FC | 80c | 2,470$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aston Villa FC | 65c | 1,820$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.81 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Aston Villa FC | 27c | 1,662$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.16 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Sunderland AFC | 18c | 735$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.76 | 150 | 30.7%46 W · 104 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Aston Villa FC | 38c | 700$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Sunderland AFC | 70c | 603.7$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.11 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Sunderland AFC | 70c | 602.54$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.76 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Sunderland AFC | 71c | 544.26$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.78 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sunderland AFC | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Aston Villa FC | 29c | 399.97$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Sunderland AFC | 71c | 276.79$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.27 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Sunderland AFC | 70c | 248.64$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.59 | 221 | 46.2%102 W · 119 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Sunderland AFC | 70c | 243.84$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.15 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Sunderland AFC | 71c | 241.84$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.08 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Sunderland AFC | 70c | 241.57$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.47 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Sunderland AFC | 71c | 240.56$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.76 | 275 | 52.7%145 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Aston Villa FC | 30c | 239.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.85 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Aston Villa FC | 30c | 219.69$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.94 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Sunderland AFC | 62c | 169.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.87 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa221…84e9backed Aston Villa FC | 30c | 158.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Aston Villa FC | 30c | 148.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…2e2abacked Aston Villa FC | 33c | 143.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Sunderland AFC | 76c | 129.52$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Aston Villa FC | 38c | 126.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Aston Villa FC | 26c | 108.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1468…2ca9backed Sunderland AFC | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Aston Villa FC | 30c | 98.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Sunderland AFC | 20c | 85.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.62 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…aaf4backed Aston Villa FC | 76c | 83.95$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -8.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Sunderland AFC | 71c | 83.04$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 289 | 50.9%147 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sunderland AFC | 25c | 79.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.48 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed Aston Villa FC | 31c | 77.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…7361backed Aston Villa FC | 31c | 77.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Aston Villa FC | 38c | 77.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403a…3173backed Sunderland AFC | 75c | 68.28$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…5222backed Aston Villa FC | 31c | 61.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…3896backed Aston Villa FC | 31c | 61.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Sunderland AFC | 71c | 59.94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Sunderland AFC | 70c | 54.29$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Sunderland AFC | 70c | 48.44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed Aston Villa FC | 31c | 44.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…727ebacked Aston Villa FC | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Aston Villa FC | 31c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Sunderland AFC | 69c | 35.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Sunderland AFC | 71c | 34.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Sunderland AFC | 43c | 31.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Sunderland AFC | 71c | 30.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Sunderland AFC | 59c | 28.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Sunderland AFC | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed12…246abacked Sunderland AFC | 75c | 26.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Sunderland AFC | 70c | 22.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d9…d312backed Sunderland AFC | 71c | 19.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…24fbbacked Sunderland AFC | 71c | 19.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Sunderland AFC | 54c | 18.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Sunderland AFC | 70c | 14.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)this page
- Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.