Premier League · resolved market
Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x201af77928443fe7b92a59b8e1d65740960b14da6bf763a8097fb0946de4cc53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc699…7961backed Over | 49c | 6,924$3,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,531.39 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 51c | 6,222$3,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,173.03 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 49c | 3,878$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.58 | 136 | 30.9%42 W · 94 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…183cbacked Under | 51c | 1,903$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.6 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Over | 48c | 1,562$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.24 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Under | 52c | 1,307$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.84 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Under | 52c | 1,274$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.51 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 13c | 1,261$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.96 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 1,063$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…8da4backed Under | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 866.78$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.06 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 771.64$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.35 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 71c | 742.55$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.34 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Over | 49c | 651.36$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.2 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 8c | 648.76$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.47 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…a022backed Under | 51c | 599.96$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.98 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 14c | 454.73$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.38 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.79 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.79 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 8c | 295.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 48c | 265.66$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.14 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e68…16c7backed Over | 71c | 233.89$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Over | 51c | 224.57$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.04 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 222.62$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.53 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…26d7backed Over | 49c | 216.53$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.43 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Over | 49c | 208.42$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.29 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 51c | 199.83$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.91 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…dde1backed Over | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 13c | 169.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…e4abbacked Under | 52c | 168.09$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.41 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 51c | 167.62$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.49 | 150 | 30.7%46 W · 104 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked Over | 49c | 137.88$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.32 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 53c | 128.2$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.25 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 51c | 110.2$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 51c | 101.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 49c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Under | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86a8…d0e7backed Under | 52c | 89.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 69c | 71.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 53c | 67.85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +21.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 51c | 62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 52c | 59.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 69c | 47.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed Under | 30c | 47.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…6c60backed Over | 49c | 42.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48a2…316dbacked Over | 49c | 39.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…f50abacked Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…8740backed Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…dc9bbacked Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under | 30c | 38.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 53c | 34.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 48c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 49c | 28.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 48c | 25.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Under | 52c | 25.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 49c | 24.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 51c | 23.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 275 | 52.7%145 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 51c | 22.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x284a…017ebacked Under | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -7.5wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -60%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Under | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5this page
- Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.