Premier League · resolved market
Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x323496745d8069d21b70b0e34df1f58c37761a0b7c3d30b1047ed0c94b9d9d76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8519…f4e1backed Yes | 52c | 1,457$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.26 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ad…c303backed No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 53c | 680.44$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.89 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 573.66$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.36 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked No | 49c | 557.9$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.37 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4277…3154backed Yes | 51c | 541.5$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.33 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e47…dd57backed Yes | 52c | 426.15$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84a2…7af5backed No | 50c | 417.1$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 50c | 334.37$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.18 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ff…35ccbacked Yes | 55c | 328.45$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.26 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed No | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 48c | 280.07$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.43 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 257.65$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.94 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed No | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 49c | 167.77$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.98 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf88a…cbfebacked No | 49c | 157.45$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 48c | 131.63$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed Yes | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff38…1d79backed Yes | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed No | 48c | 82.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1821…a7c2backed Yes | 52c | 74.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 65.55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 37c | 62.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…d4d7backed Yes | 52c | 48.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c5…4415backed No | 50c | 45.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad05…fb3bbacked Yes | 52c | 44.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 119 | 54.6%65 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Yes | 51c | 29.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf341…9bd8backed No | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 49c | 28.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed No | 36c | 28.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…1ef8backed Yes | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b3…d6efbacked Yes | 52c | 24.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 48c | 23.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.