Premier League · resolved market
Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc71e3b5fab58e7335c56f10f0e2c627071753cf38bf0c84c6ad8c00e992784c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 11,655$5,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,770.24 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 48c | 10,420$5,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,418.4 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Over | 69c | 6,091$4,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,896.79 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 47c | 4,158$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.87 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 1c | 4,096$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 26c | 3,708$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.96 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 31c | 1,995$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.39 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 44c | 1,537$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 71c | 1,396$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.94 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 41c | 1,395$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.9 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ac…7409backed Under | 47c | 1,221$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.33 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 37c | 1,205$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.41 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Over | 72c | 1,092$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.7 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Over | 41c | 1,079$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.16 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…b47dbacked Under | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 58c | 916.65$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.34 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 1c | 860$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -93.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 54c | 714.62$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.14 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Over | 50c | 634.64$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.05 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Under | 79c | 507.81$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.17 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…609fbacked Under | 10c | 478.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +163.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 66c | 470.81$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.6 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…7e5ebacked Under | 69c | 424.22$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.72 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc2…5dbbbacked Under | 59c | 399.91$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.85 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 52c | 388.87$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.96 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 31c | 369.49$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.45 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…d24dbacked Over | 40c | 342.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.79 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 63c | 311.76$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.53 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 261.14$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.36 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 76c | 259.37$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 152 | 63.2%96 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 51c | 239.49$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.05 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 12c | 213.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.55 | 953 | 32.5%310 W · 643 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 29c | 211$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 150 | 30.7%46 W · 104 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 12c | 210.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xded4…1e6dbacked Under | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Under | 68c | 196.16$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.51 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 13c | 182.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.57 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 54c | 169.09$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 755 | 42.3%319 W · 436 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 62c | 157.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…af26backed Under | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…c06abacked Under | 79c | 146.59$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…26d7backed Over | 13c | 145.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.23 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x088a…9ee7backed Under | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 60c | 141.46$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.97 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Over | 55c | 122.07$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.93 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Under | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Over | 13c | 119.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.71 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 53c | 108.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.37 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb844…8cf6backed Over | 47c | 103.47$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Under | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 43c | 78.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.41 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…6865backed Under | 71c | 75.23$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x120d…5a76backed Under | 46c | 69.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.1wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Over | 72c | 68.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Under | 76c | 64.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.29per pick | 65cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Over | 43c | 60.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Under | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cb…dd8abacked Under | 68c | 58.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7569…ac76backed Under | 28c | 58.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 28c | 55.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +21.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9413…bc8cbacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked Over | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Under | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2413…2442backed Under | 56c | 41.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…b3edbacked Under | 73c | 40.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 66c | 28.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed Under | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Over | 44c | 28.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 48c | 23.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…9241backed Under | 52c | 21.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 78c | 19.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…3319backed Over | 76c | 19.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5this page
- Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.