Premier League · resolved market
Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90613f48b59a9139f7bfe2dbb1a61bbe3d1249439726c8333f50334847c7a50d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 19c | 2,643$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.46 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Over | 68c | 1,541$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.07 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Over | 67c | 1,500$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 72c | 1,228$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.05 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 73c | 1,172$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.7 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 1,053$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 768.65$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.65 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 73c | 688.66$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.72 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Over | 28c | 683.43$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.07 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 38c | 633.42$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.7 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc2…5dbbbacked Under | 58c | 498.66$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.23 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 26c | 438.59$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.77 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 72c | 428.59$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.59 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 68c | 419.3$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.96 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Over | 74c | 394.52$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…8da4backed Under | 33c | 385.49$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.17 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…a8b1backed Over | 28c | 375.89$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.64 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 33c | 370.42$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.18 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 17c | 327.02$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 45c | 192.1$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Under | 27c | 175.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 28c | 170.86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.02 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Under | 73c | 161.72$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.06 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 79c | 124.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 43c | 121.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 46c | 115.55$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.9 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 27c | 114.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.88 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Under | 56c | 104.68$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 72c | 103.03$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.79 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb185…48c1backed Under | 35c | 96.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…17bdbacked Under | 17c | 95.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 101 | 25.7%26 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 46c | 90.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.81 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Under | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 28c | 85.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.51 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 75c | 78.8$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc4…3479backed Under | 72c | 77.66$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.8wins | -0.54per pick | 68cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…26d7backed Over | 28c | 71.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…25e1backed Over | 28c | 68.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 28c | 68.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 43c | 67.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb09a…7fc7backed Under | 31c | 61.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 56c | 58.68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3284…45adbacked Under | 74c | 53.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 33c | 53.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Under | 73c | 51.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x120d…5a76backed Under | 74c | 50.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.1wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…9c06backed Over | 27c | 49.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 73c | 49.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Under | 55c | 46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 59c | 43.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7569…ac76backed Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 28c | 35.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 80c | 30.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 73c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Under | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 54c | 23.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…9241backed Over | 80c | 12.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5this page
- Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.