TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1fc2…5dbb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst CS2 at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT3036.7%11 W · 19 L-6.7wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-39.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
CS2 — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$134
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$28.49
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.03
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.99
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+138.1%+$69.05
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$17.39
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+44.9%+$67.39
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$139.73
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 (BO3)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs M80 (BO3)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Imperial (BO3)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs GamerLegion (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs The Huns Esports (BO3)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+49.3%+$24.63
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs FaZe (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+25%+$12.5
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+49.6%+$24.78
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NIP (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: B8 vs PARIVISION (BO1)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$54
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$54.12
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.39
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$60.85
Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.85
Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.23
Leeds United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$106.37
Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$33.31
Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.33
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$47.61
All 12 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.52
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$44.73
Pohang Steelers FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.65
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+107.9%+$114.07
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.8
Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Seoul: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.8
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+76.9%+$41.34
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick26cpaid-83.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.5
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.8
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.94
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$70
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$143.39
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$150
All 11 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick30cpaid-8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+98%+$49.58
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.16
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+153.3%+$251.93
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+116%+$107.4
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+53.8%+$28
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+63.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-42.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+984.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+1,068.7%+$1,476.9
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+900%+$851.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+73.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hellas Verona FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$146.98
SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$39.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$352
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+108.3%+$91.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlético San Luis vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$153
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.