TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,591
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,194

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,591 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under33c5,079$1,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,402.924235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6fd…30f0backed Over67c5,000$3,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3508951.7%46 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over78c1,272$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.6738858.2%226 W · 162 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Under34c1,241$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.9164852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0c…cf1abacked Under34c984.81$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.88333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f15…a877backed Over66c759.99$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.592272.7%16 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e9a…e41bbacked Over68c725.12$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.281060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over68c712.69$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.145,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Over69c711.16$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.730259.3%179 W · 123 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…40e8backed Under34c609.9$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.7515134.4%52 W · 99 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Under29c591.61$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.5418536.2%67 W · 118 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over57c518.47$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.721,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under32c499.99$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.991,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed Over69c488.3$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.618032.5%26 W · 54 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd1f…2bd0backed Under32c443.9$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.851060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+50.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Under32c409.71$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.61,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under18c393.64$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3213,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c0d…5a51backed Under55c320.26$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.152055%11 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Under31c314.28$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.854156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over70c299.89$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.222,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9743…93b0backed Over72c283.86$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Under38c243.11$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.722,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c56…978fbacked Under33c221.8$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.88683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick43cpaid+103.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1fc2…5dbbbacked Over67c199.99$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1343036.7%11 W · 19 L-6.7wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-39.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under39c184.97$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.045,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over66c182.28$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.311,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Over66c173.79$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.2823851.7%123 W · 115 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Under29c168.31$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.2285851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe26c…f309backed Over69c160.59$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.81837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under30c155.67$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3547260%283 W · 189 L+31.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under35c153.23$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.441,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe082…04bcbacked Under33c145.42$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.433953.8%21 W · 18 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+28.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xea6a…f194backed Under33c142.52$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.4918643.5%81 W · 105 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ac2…e183backed Over69c142.23$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1413151.9%68 W · 63 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Over67c141.54$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7125747.5%122 W · 135 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c19…6303backed Under34c141.24$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.223265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x47e1…c2babacked Under35c131.25$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3147146.7%220 W · 251 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Under56c121.98$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.839948.5%48 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Under28c121.7$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2315241.4%63 W · 89 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Over35c119.13$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.185,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2fb…9285backed Over80c111.48$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c8f…de8abacked Over65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654436.4%16 W · 28 L-5.8wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-33.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6a95…c382backed Over67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-56%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3375…ba50backed Over58c99.98$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.998063.8%51 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under49c99.97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7840635.7%145 W · 261 L-33.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd3e3…411bbacked Over66c99.87$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under31c99.24$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4881244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32e0…c1d5backed Over68c98.08$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.69450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb882…fcabbacked Over69c96.29$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.441118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.7wins-0.33per pick52cpaid-61.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3d72…b643backed Under51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.633253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffbf…1184backed Under37c92.03$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.367065.7%46 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Under75c91.65$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.915543.6%24 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe660…2ac1backed Over69c91.03$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8114654.8%80 W · 66 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c49…c6c2backed Under56c86.4$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.649952.5%52 W · 47 L-7.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4dde…cff5backed Under20c84.85$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.881442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+41.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Under35c82.67$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.747142.3%30 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x635f…92f3backed Under35c81.66$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.084557.8%26 W · 19 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+38.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under48c75.1$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.171,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4a3…1521backed Under53c73.08$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.21266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda8a…2dbabacked Over69c71.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.079644.8%43 W · 53 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3ce…2ea5backed Under49c70.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.91338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56fe…9fe1backed Over63c69.84$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442714.8%4 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd067…9b9abacked Under42c69.2$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2345663.6%290 W · 166 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe802…b62abacked Over74c67.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Under63c64.38$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8237157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…8689backed Over37c62.27$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0430%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea89…476abacked Under42c62.05$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9912248.4%59 W · 63 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Over57c61.21$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.597944.3%35 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa6…1b56backed Under50c59.64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.822157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under35c57.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4821952.5%115 W · 104 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x399c…6191backed Over69c57.26$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2416965.1%110 W · 59 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under32c57$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.83,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa62d…70c8backed Over68c56.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.75650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Over21c56.65$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1210031%31 W · 69 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6df…ec06backed Under34c56.49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.293100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+99.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f0d…9115backed Under39c53.33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.535771.9%41 W · 16 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4c7…c6bdbacked Under31c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.51662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under33c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.538848.5%188 W · 200 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Under51c49.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3322534.2%77 W · 148 L-19.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-36.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Over50c49.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7420353.2%108 W · 95 L+1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Over67c49.01$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.849748.5%47 W · 50 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8471…e4f0backed Over69c46.9$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.391560%9 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05bc…eabbbacked Over37c45.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.638943.8%39 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca1…3e28backed Under34c44.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.161163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+35.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Over28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.38852.3%46 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6755…c7b3backed Over67c39.98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7940%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x58e4…a515backed Over68c39.23$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.681060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc89c…df9abacked Under51c38.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.652653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21a2…abb3backed Under75c35.54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.959959.6%59 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9d…2269backed Over51c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.915765%102 W · 55 L+15.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+20.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2f3d…1f52backed Over74c32.93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4928052.9%148 W · 132 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1ee…0f22backed Under35c30.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.99944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f2b…8775backed Over68c30.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.628556.8%162 W · 123 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x863f…7b79backed Over60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.13740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed Under49c29.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1342057.6%242 W · 178 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e57…831dbacked Over69c29.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.317943%34 W · 45 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9888…a1f7backed Over75c28.35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2740%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd0de…a9fcbacked Over67c25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.751275%9 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe66e…96e8backed Over44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117842.3%33 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ef…ebcabacked Over69c24.54$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.931450%7 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.