TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf0ef…ebca

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
136
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Cricket, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 58 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT3773%27 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$50.8
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.75
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$35.4
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$15.63
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.2
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.8
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.01
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+35%+$12.95
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$12.6
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+49%+$14.81
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.6
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$12.6
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$21.66
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.43
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$9.49
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.39
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.76
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.12
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.24
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$12.66
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.67
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.73
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.65
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.66
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$31.59
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$15.44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$19.94
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$26.27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$21.1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$30.58
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.42
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$6.34
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$8.25
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+31.1%+$8.06
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21.91
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25.04
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 1st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.57
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
All 22 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.34
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+158.1%+$36.75
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.32
Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+149.5%+$77.89
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10.23
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$28.45
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 25m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.65
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 44m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.11
Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10.23
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+182.7%+$103.81
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.9
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$9.9
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$9.5
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.26
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.65
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.02
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Honvéd (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group Bbacked Entropy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$12.25
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Will Vitality win IEM Atlanta 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Vitality win IEM Rio 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.43
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.93
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.56
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+54%+$25.04
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$29.59
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+92.3%+$16.8
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.4
All 14 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+49.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Cricket — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Lanka Premier League: Kandy Royals vs Colombo Kapsbacked Colombo Kaps · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+101.2%+$12.57
T20 Lanka Premier League: Colombo Kaps vs Galle Gallantsbacked Galle Gallants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$19.5
T20I Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladeshbacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$22.07
T20I Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladeshbacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$22.02
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.3
T20 Blast: Sussex vs Hampshirebacked Hampshire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$17.7
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$18.93
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Australiabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.45
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Sri Lanka vs Irelandbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$12.6
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$13.2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$21.66
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.75
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.9
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.79
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-55.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-52.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.