Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3280af6820de4d4d59a7d4a205c22bef6de662351306188da4a048a534c9919f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $359,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $396,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $359,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 391 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed No | 19c | 17,445$3,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,257.82 | 115 | 12.2%14 W · 101 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed No | 13c | 7,983$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.78 | 541 | 22.7%123 W · 418 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed No | 11c | 7,857$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.62 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed5…72a6backed No | 2c | 7,146$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.65 | 124 | 29%36 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb6…008fbacked No | 0c | 6,629$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…d6fdbacked No | 39c | 6,316$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448.24 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked No | 38c | 5,993$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,253.68 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 38c | 4,486$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.16 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes | 58c | 4,412$2,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.33 | 285 | 26.7%76 W · 209 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…2ec7backed No | 20c | 3,913$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.05 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed No | 19c | 3,829$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.08 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked No | 4c | 3,534$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.48 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 66c | 3,363$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.2 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes | 66c | 3,358$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.17 | 216 | 14.8%32 W · 184 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe133…6994backed No | 22c | 2,852$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.06 | 104 | 32.7%34 W · 70 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes | 70c | 2,813$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.03 | 388 | 28.6%111 W · 277 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 72c | 2,436$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.07 | 564 | 29.8%168 W · 396 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb3…56f3backed No | 20c | 2,355$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.6 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a41…a88cbacked Yes | 79c | 2,170$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.58 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 1c | 2,094$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 350 | 24%84 W · 266 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…f80dbacked No | 15c | 2,039$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.04 | 186 | 31.7%59 W · 127 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 49c | 1,997$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.78 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 37c | 1,992$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.49 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1557…3e6cbacked No | 2c | 1,782$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 2c | 1,706$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 503 | 19.5%98 W · 405 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 54c | 1,590$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.41 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed No | 14c | 1,511$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.07 | 108 | 24.1%26 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b42…229ebacked No | 1c | 1,490$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 103 | 22.3%23 W · 80 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd15a…80dbbacked Yes | 72c | 1,315$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.61 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…cb18backed No | 35c | 1,299$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.74 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…748fbacked Yes | 69c | 1,265$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.98 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes | 70c | 1,200$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.75 | 140 | 25.7%36 W · 104 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 52c | 1,157$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.1 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7061…9233backed Yes | 59c | 1,141$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.78 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 54c | 1,122$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.01 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0f…2154backed No | 19c | 1,106$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.69 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4982…fe01backed Yes | 67c | 1,100$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.53 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed No | 35c | 1,100$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9429…c151backed Yes | 78c | 1,079$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.51 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb036…5c79backed No | 29c | 1,067$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.63 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x402c…0f6dbacked No | 26c | 1,031$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.67 | 280 | 25.4%71 W · 209 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed Yes | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…558bbacked No | 3c | 999.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 181 | 23.8%43 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Yes | 66c | 996.58$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.18 | 317 | 22.4%71 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 3c | 982.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 121 | 14%17 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d47…0ed2backed No | 30c | 970.14$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.04 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2f…7122backed Yes | 39c | 968.5$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed No | 35c | 915.9$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.02 | 461 | 37.5%173 W · 288 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3223…f2e2backed Yes | 66c | 863.29$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a0…b9eebacked No | 60c | 833$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked No | 46c | 818.01$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274c…4824backed Yes | 80c | 808.55$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.71 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…1b38backed Yes | 42c | 797.14$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.22 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…8371backed Yes | 47c | 769.97$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.19 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fb…dad8backed Yes | 55c | 716.74$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.84 | 123 | 32.5%40 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…eac8backed No | 20c | 699.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…5d81backed Yes | 39c | 699.98$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 76c | 644.6$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.76 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5088…8844backed No | 9c | 626.92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfafe…2e34backed Yes | 70c | 595.37$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.61 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7c…d422backed No | 9c | 575.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed No | 5c | 571$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 267 | 22.8%61 W · 206 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…f380backed Yes | 77c | 541.82$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.95 | 176 | 31.8%56 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeae1…65ecbacked No | 65c | 533.95$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.51 | 93 | 17.2%16 W · 77 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 70c | 500$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.4 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea1e…2858backed Yes | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 117 | 29.1%34 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45a0…5963backed Yes | 45c | 497.16$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.16 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb9…0754backed Yes | 80c | 494.01$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…7f66backed No | 6c | 485.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 197 | 26.9%53 W · 144 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked Yes | 71c | 483.14$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.07 | 278 | 20.9%58 W · 220 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8226…6520backed Yes | 70c | 482.54$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.91 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 25c | 479.16$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.57 | 105 | 14.3%15 W · 90 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…f36abacked No | 14c | 466.46$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.31 | 192 | 29.2%56 W · 136 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1287…85adbacked No | 17c | 464.31$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.22 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes | 64c | 452.93$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.72 | 325 | 29.2%95 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…9002backed Yes | 42c | 448.79$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.39 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8007…a8f4backed Yes | 60c | 441.6$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.64 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 35c | 426.51$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.39 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x054c…ae95backed Yes | 52c | 423$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.99 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c4…8129backed No | 17c | 421.64$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.04 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | -16.1wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7f31…44edbacked Yes | 38c | 418.17$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.54 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5174…0c80backed Yes | 42c | 415.98$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eed…2050backed Yes | 73c | 411.09$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.03 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8560…7302backed Yes | 72c | 410$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…cc26backed No | 17c | 404.75$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.66 | 499 | 19%95 W · 404 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa230…1cdbbacked No | 4c | 400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 66c | 395.62$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.82 | 335 | 27.8%93 W · 242 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab8…3e81backed Yes | 72c | 391.3$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.39 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dc…17d8backed Yes | 40c | 391.27$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.29 | 183 | 21.9%40 W · 143 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e07abacked No | 54c | 385.67$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.34 | 781 | 11.3%88 W · 693 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…fcbebacked No | 9c | 381.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +190%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…5954backed No | 8c | 376.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…3f68backed Yes | 38c | 371.98$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.31 | 117 | 21.4%25 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes | 41c | 369.06$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.27 | 292 | 27.7%81 W · 211 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b67…60aabacked Yes | 60c | 359.61$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.69 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes | 54c | 353.33$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.53 | 348 | 33.3%116 W · 232 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2749…06edbacked Yes | 68c | 344.91$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked No | 63c | 341.3$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.62 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 35c | 340.02$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.41 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x064b…eae5backed No | 10c | 336.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.