Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75d0cf077b8459dcbf7637c505c1e93b23657ebc3fff2c766cdbbb10820ebbb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $421,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $329,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $421,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 307 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x689a…779ebacked Yes | 4c | 17,915$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.93 | 225 | 9.8%22 W · 203 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 8c | 13,354$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.4 | 1,780 | 7.4%132 W · 1,648 L | -23.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 5c | 10,820$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.27 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…4b09backed Yes | 1c | 10,083$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.56 | 797 | 11.3%90 W · 707 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 1c | 7,551$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 514 | 10.5%54 W · 460 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33d4…c167backed Yes | 14c | 6,461$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.42 | 177 | 23.2%41 W · 136 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb831…892bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 177 | 17.5%31 W · 146 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Yes | 26c | 4,704$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.1 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 26c | 4,401$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.05 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 2c | 4,317$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.25 | 1,190 | 8.7%104 W · 1,086 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 13c | 4,311$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.31 | 541 | 22.7%123 W · 418 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Yes | 20c | 4,176$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.09 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd317…025abacked Yes | 8c | 3,719$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.66 | 220 | 23.6%52 W · 168 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…a743backed Yes | 9c | 3,612$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.84 | 248 | 15.3%38 W · 210 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb6…008fbacked Yes | 2c | 3,576$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.53 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 16c | 3,562$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.31 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Yes | 7c | 3,436$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.75 | 87 | 5.7%5 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes | 22c | 3,371$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.05 | 216 | 14.8%32 W · 184 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…e270backed Yes | 5c | 3,333$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…af59backed Yes | 13c | 3,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 364 | 11%40 W · 324 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 21c | 2,983$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.39 | 226 | 10.6%24 W · 202 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x577c…c836backed Yes | 24c | 2,909$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.94 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9102…89d6backed No | 78c | 2,885$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…c64dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,586$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.06 | 143 | 32.9%47 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…08e8backed No | 79c | 2,475$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.87 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,363$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.46 | 326 | 13.8%45 W · 281 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 28c | 2,251$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.55 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…cb18backed Yes | 25c | 2,203$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.44 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,178$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.11 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef24…a44dbacked Yes | 19c | 2,145$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.85 | 171 | 26.9%46 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 29c | 2,117$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.09 | 532 | 22.7%121 W · 411 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x402c…0f6dbacked No | 78c | 1,965$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.12 | 280 | 25.4%71 W · 209 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201a…66a8backed Yes | 12c | 1,931$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.02 | 201 | 29.4%59 W · 142 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,931$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 250 | 12.8%32 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…77acbacked Yes | 5c | 1,909$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.56 | 159 | 25.2%40 W · 119 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 25c | 1,909$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.97 | 574 | 20.9%120 W · 454 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eed…2050backed Yes | 24c | 1,875$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.65 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 17c | 1,846$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.18 | 100 | 15%15 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b42…229ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,747$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.49 | 103 | 22.3%23 W · 80 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a26…a03bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,738$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d74…a191backed Yes | 9c | 1,600$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked Yes | 10c | 1,532$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.29 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes | 3c | 1,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 388 | 11.9%46 W · 342 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f73…b6f9backed Yes | 26c | 1,490$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.37 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…746fbacked Yes | 22c | 1,469$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.2 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 30c | 1,469$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.62 | 876 | 18.4%161 W · 715 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f9…0c3bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,464$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.41 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed Yes | 21c | 1,402$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.38 | 488 | 19.3%94 W · 394 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Yes | 12c | 1,377$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.14 | 317 | 22.4%71 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked No | 69c | 1,332$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.5 | 630 | 21.7%137 W · 493 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes | 28c | 1,200$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 140 | 25.7%36 W · 104 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 73c | 1,157$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.59 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…f520backed Yes | 9c | 1,103$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.54 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 26c | 1,101$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.31 | 879 | 17.2%151 W · 728 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce3…4c0abacked Yes | 3c | 1,016$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274c…4824backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…0f2ebacked No | 75c | 999.98$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes | 4c | 999.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ff…13eabacked Yes | 4c | 960$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…3f19backed No | 80c | 941.79$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2a…5aa6backed Yes | 10c | 928.33$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.98 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4982…fe01backed Yes | 31c | 911.04$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.19 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ae…a3efbacked Yes | 35c | 885.64$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.7 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca1…17e5backed Yes | 14c | 811.1$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.2 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x960b…9303backed Yes | 6c | 768.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Yes | 31c | 761.79$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.55 | 461 | 37.5%173 W · 288 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 6c | 760.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 121 | 6.6%8 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10c8…9ddabacked Yes | 22c | 756.34$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc78b…2ca5backed Yes | 25c | 728.81$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.07 | 101 | 25.7%26 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4f…eb7ebacked Yes | 4c | 716.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 218 | 27.1%59 W · 159 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbe…8f37backed No | 67c | 706.55$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.85 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 7c | 699.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,060 | 8.4%89 W · 971 L | +29.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 8c | 695.7$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 274 | 17.5%48 W · 226 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…7255backed Yes | 33c | 691.97$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.74 | 264 | 11.4%30 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…8345backed Yes | 14c | 670$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.13 | 151 | 36.4%55 W · 96 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes | 32c | 654.13$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.32 | 238 | 19.3%46 W · 192 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Yes | 26c | 641.08$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.98 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 25c | 638$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.35 | 1,040 | 13.7%142 W · 898 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…5be3backed Yes | 27c | 630.37$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.52 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes | 23c | 620.87$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 115 | 12.2%14 W · 101 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58cd…775abacked Yes | 18c | 613.16$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.34 | 386 | 14.2%55 W · 331 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf096…28a8backed Yes | 22c | 608.52$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.87 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd68…0261backed Yes | 5c | 593$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 197 | 31%61 W · 136 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38b3…1e06backed Yes | 19c | 590.47$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.52 | 212 | 15.1%32 W · 180 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac32…6e3bbacked Yes | 24c | 573.7$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.62 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…c25bbacked Yes | 17c | 568.54$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.65 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2e…5e69backed Yes | 23c | 545.68$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.42 | 431 | 26.2%113 W · 318 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…8804backed Yes | 16c | 515.25$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.44 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…2917backed Yes | 35c | 502.34$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.72 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed Yes | 6c | 500.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea1e…2858backed No | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 117 | 29.1%34 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a79…e2afbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a0…5963backed Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb9…0754backed Yes | 16c | 499.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…f60cbacked Yes | 19c | 498.7$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.54 | 164 | 20.7%34 W · 130 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9906…c0aebacked Yes | 7c | 495.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…eac8backed Yes | 13c | 495.57$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.39 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…c831backed Yes | 24c | 489.3$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.29 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9330…673dbacked Yes | 9c | 488.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.