TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1db9…a43b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
396
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweetslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT23819.3%46 W · 192 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 238 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.69
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.56
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$48.21
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+223.6%+$234.96
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.96
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.85
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.54
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+131.5%+$56.8
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$206
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$144
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$378.6
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+53%+$129.26
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.6
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.57
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$449.48
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$74.83
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,368Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,368.22
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+154.2%+$560.69
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$625Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$625.28
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,516Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$690.72
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.67
Showing 25 of 238 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST2123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-53.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$23.99
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+233.3%+$35
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$53.35
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$37.5
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+122.2%+$110
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$166.47
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$113.51
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$951Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+37.9%+$360.2
Will Israel strike 1 country in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+53.6%+$26.81
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$63.7
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$28.92
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$49.47
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$16.1
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+38.4%+$101.73
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$91.12
All 21 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Flyersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
Penguins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Sharks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Red Wings vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.5
Golden Knights vs. Bruinsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Devils vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+78.6%+$13.2
Wild vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.5
Senators vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11.95
Wild vs. Sabresbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+51.5%+$34
Golden Knights vs. Bluesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Bruins vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$27.5
Senators vs. Kingsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Panthers vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$13.8
Stars vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+101.3%+$40.25
Stars vs. Canucksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+75.4%+$7.74
Stars vs. Senators: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+93.7%+$123.92
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$161.2
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$51.16
Spread: Hawks (-15.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$31.95
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$59.5
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$52.5
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11.75
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+44.9%+$7.75
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+108.3%+$26
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$27.5
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+26.1%+$118.08
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+30.4%+$35
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+29.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$54.52
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-20.5)backed Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.55
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-4.5)backed South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.29
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Grand Canyon Antelopes: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Cleveland State Vikings vs. Wright State Raiders: O/U 158.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+108.3%+$52
Fordham Rams vs. Davidson Wildcats: O/U 132.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+127.3%+$56
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-2.5)backed Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Spread: Delaware State Hornets (-3.5)backed Morgan State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Texas Southern Tigers vs. Alcorn State Bravesbacked Alcorn State Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-6.5)backed California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$40
Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-15.5)backed Richmond Spiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Kent State Golden Flashes (-5.5)backed Toledo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.5
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+163.2%+$31
All 13 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-57.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or higher on January 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in London be 3°C on January 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+79.4%+$80.4
Will the highest temperature in London be 2°C on January 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$467.5
Will the highest temperature in London be 1°C on January 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$72.71
Will the highest temperature in London be 4°C or higher on January 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18.77
Will the highest temperature in London be 2°C on January 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Will the highest temperature in London be 4°C on January 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$24.73
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8.03
Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C on January 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54.51
Will the highest temperature in London be 4°C on January 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.9
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$23.1
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on December 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
All 13 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-55.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$98.27
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$24.95
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+222.6%+$453.83
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+66.7%+$20
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$280.93
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,216Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$1,216.2
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$428.54
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$6,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$6,998.06
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,637Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$2,637.27
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$39.56
Grokipedia released by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.2
All 11 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick62cpaid+41.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+59.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+58.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+74.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-36.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+85.2%+$46
Buccaneers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+31.6%+$8.4
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$14.56
Falcons vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$17.73
Spread: Lions (-10.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$25.5
All 5 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+47.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+85.2%+$84.33
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Emilio Nava vs Tomas Machacbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Miami Open: Ignacio Buse vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Miami Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Zhizhen Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.39
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+327.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+327.5%+$32.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Auckland FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.