South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefd75cc2af6474f204a921ffe57ac819759853be2ca6a1d27ab36ec974de7cad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebolof SC Corinthians Paulista, Associação Chapecoense de Futebol
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,711 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed SC Corinthians Paulista | 20c | 25,931$5,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,274.29 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 80c | 14,987$11,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,034.11 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 80c | 7,067$5,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.51 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 79c | 2,998$2,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.64 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed SC Corinthians Paulista | 21c | 1,250$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.88 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 79c | 648.3$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked SC Corinthians Paulista | 22c | 455.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 79c | 442.28$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 79c | 433.67$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked SC Corinthians Paulista | 21c | 348.14$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.11 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed SC Corinthians Paulista | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed SC Corinthians Paulista | 22c | 250.87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.09 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed SC Corinthians Paulista | 21c | 201.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 88 | 29.5%26 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 79c | 128.64$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 80c | 112$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed SC Corinthians Paulista | 18c | 109.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed SC Corinthians Paulista | 21c | 104.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db9…a43bbacked Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 79c | 99.98$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0d…c27bbacked SC Corinthians Paulista | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 79c | 75.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 80c | 71.37$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 80c | 70.64$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 80c | 70.64$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bb…288cbacked Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed SC Corinthians Paulista | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…700bbacked Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 79c | 50.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…e8acbacked Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 80c | 30.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 80c | 24.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 79c | 23.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 78c | 22.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…21b8backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 80c | 21.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 74c | 20.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e65dbacked Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 80c | 18.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 79c | 16.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa74…3067backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 80c | 13.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)this page
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5Under won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5Under won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5Under won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5)Associação Chapecoense de Futebol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.