TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1a0d…c27b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
149
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst La Liga at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT4658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+24.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.22
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.78
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.69
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.28
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$15.05
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.42
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.98
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.4
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.64
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.05
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$35.69
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.38
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.65
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.56
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$17.47
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+525%+$99.71
Spread: Nuggets (-22.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.18
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.12
Spread: Magic (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.13
Cavaliers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.12
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$32.06
Suns vs. Magicbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.75
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$37.96
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.57
Spread: Auburn Tigers (-5.5)backed Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$15.28
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 159.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$12.11
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Spread: Creighton Bluejays (-4.5)backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
Spread: Houston Cougars (-3.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.75
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-1.5)backed Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.32
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.47
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-1.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$39.48
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$29.12
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.64
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.02
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.22
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.18
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Kennesaw State Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.97
Spread: Georgia Bulldogs (-1.5)backed Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.48
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.38
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Spread: Lehigh Mountain Hawks (-2.5)backed Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.48
All 21 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open, Qualification: Anastasia Potapova vs Sinja Krausbacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.89
Madrid Open, Qualification: Sloane Stephens vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+525%+$66.46
Madrid Open, Qualification: Yibing Wu vs Titouan Droguetbacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.35
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.08
BMW Open, Qualification: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Alex Molcanbacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.34
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.49
Madrid: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Toby Samuelbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.11
Monza: Timofey Skatov vs Hugo Gastonbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.01
Madrid: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Selena Janicijevicbacked Oksana Selekhmeteva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.01
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+80.1%+$61.21
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Alex Michelsen vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Zachary Svajdabacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$27.95
Barletta: Daniil Glinka vs Mikhail Kukushkinbacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$57.24
Yokkaichi: Yuta Shimizu vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Yuta Shimizu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$37.04
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 women's singles tournament at the Miami Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.77
Miami Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jiri Leheckabacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.81
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.12
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.1
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Blackhawks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$46.24
Penguins vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.12
Rangers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$15.36
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$19.5
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.84
Lightning vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.01
Devils vs. Capitalsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.22
Blackhawks vs. Wild: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+123.6%+$24.73
Jets vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-61.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.77
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.64
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.26
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$8
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.65
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.79
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$8.11
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
All 11 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-29.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+58.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+49%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Denmark win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$34.61
Will Czechia win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$45.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$17.18
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$31.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.74
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$18.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$12.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.