NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dcf8d4ae9ef4f7de04f354a3286cab70bd56e7b39e501ead0cc93700a1cbb34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,084,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,281,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,084,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 747 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Warriors | 19c | 135,828$26,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,022.09 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Warriors | 20c | 89,012$17,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,802.33 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Warriors | 17c | 71,609$11,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,822.77 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe661…e564backed Warriors | 0c | 43,235$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Warriors | 19c | 40,000$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,600 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Warriors | 49c | 29,972$14,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,826.14 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Warriors | 21c | 29,354$6,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,211.74 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…263dbacked Warriors | 26c | 25,389$6,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,576.13 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Warriors | 19c | 24,158$4,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,589.93 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Warriors | 21c | 19,970$4,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,280.05 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6101…23bcbacked Warriors | 19c | 16,281$3,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,102.39 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Warriors | 18c | 14,336$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580.45 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 22c | 13,819$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009.56 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Cavaliers | 78c | 13,776$10,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,041.66 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Warriors | 2c | 13,750$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.43 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f7…ab52backed Cavaliers | 79c | 12,486$9,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 11c | 11,423$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.54 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Warriors | 45c | 11,098$4,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,946.25 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Warriors | 13c | 10,398$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.85 | 238 | 33.2%79 W · 159 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Warriors | 11c | 10,092$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.74 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Warriors | 20c | 10,010$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cavaliers | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445f…07d4backed Cavaliers | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Cavaliers | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.93 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…2ab2backed Cavaliers | 80c | 9,880$7,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +303.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Warriors | 15c | 9,636$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.38 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…b299backed Warriors | 19c | 8,302$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.42 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Warriors | 22c | 7,873$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.1 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Warriors | 15c | 7,611$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.88 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8d…a19bbacked Cavaliers | 75c | 7,595$5,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.27 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…734dbacked Cavaliers | 80c | 7,143$5,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.39 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Warriors | 20c | 6,748$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.68 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec7e…5fddbacked Warriors | 22c | 6,425$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.73 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad3…fb0fbacked Warriors | 19c | 6,343$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.66 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Warriors | 0c | 6,122$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Warriors | 19c | 6,077$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.51 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Cavaliers | 80c | 5,847$4,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.4 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Cavaliers | 80c | 5,751$4,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.73 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Cavaliers | 80c | 5,524$4,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.78 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Cavaliers | 71c | 5,466$3,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Cavaliers | 80c | 5,434$4,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.8 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…8723backed Warriors | 36c | 5,389$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.23 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fd…4c1dbacked Warriors | 21c | 5,167$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.05 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Warriors | 22c | 5,008$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.84 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Warriors | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Warriors | 20c | 4,903$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.56 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc1…cd9fbacked Warriors | 19c | 4,800$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Warriors | 20c | 4,760$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952 | 141 | 7.8%11 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Warriors | 20c | 4,760$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Cavaliers | 80c | 4,693$3,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.6 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Cavaliers | 78c | 4,556$3,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.81 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Warriors | 21c | 4,536$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.6 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Warriors | 16c | 4,399$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.88 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Warriors | 14c | 4,352$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.07 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Warriors | 47c | 4,301$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.25 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Warriors | 21c | 4,265$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.77 | 249 | 37.3%93 W · 156 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Cavaliers | 80c | 4,152$3,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.75 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6658…8afdbacked Warriors | 19c | 4,098$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.58 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…96f2backed Cavaliers | 80c | 3,987$3,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.97 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Cavaliers | 80c | 3,976$3,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.14 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Cavaliers | 79c | 3,706$2,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.24 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cavaliers | 77c | 3,570$2,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.12 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Cavaliers | 72c | 3,437$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.15 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacb…a0e3backed Warriors | 19c | 3,410$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.9 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf98a…f376backed Warriors | 20c | 3,267$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.3 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Warriors | 16c | 3,089$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.7 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Cavaliers | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Warriors | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.86 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aab…c4ddbacked Warriors | 16c | 2,969$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.54 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Warriors | 17c | 2,960$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.39 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Cavaliers | 77c | 2,954$2,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.7 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Warriors | 17c | 2,933$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.73 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…9f3abacked Warriors | 17c | 2,861$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…fd40backed Cavaliers | 80c | 2,766$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.2 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Warriors | 20c | 2,744$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.71 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Cavaliers | 57c | 2,583$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…307dbacked Cavaliers | 80c | 2,470$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a62…ab67backed Warriors | 20c | 2,465$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ad…85f7backed Warriors | 21c | 2,268$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.3 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…fddebacked Warriors | 21c | 2,268$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Cavaliers | 80c | 2,164$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.88 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Warriors | 20c | 2,156$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.11 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Warriors | 21c | 2,128$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.63 | 367 | 18.5%68 W · 299 L | -36.8wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cavaliers | 66c | 2,041$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.58 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Cavaliers | 58c | 2,008$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.74 | 527 | 60%316 W · 211 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…6adbbacked Cavaliers | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Cavaliers | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Warriors | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.98 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Warriors | 11c | 1,976$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.44 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a70…5882backed Warriors | 18c | 1,963$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.76 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -72%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Warriors | 18c | 1,940$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.25 | 468 | 47.4%222 W · 246 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…9837backed Warriors | 18c | 1,928$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.67 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Cavaliers | 80c | 1,885$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.03 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…9014backed Cavaliers | 74c | 1,871$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.13 | 181 | 47.5%86 W · 95 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Warriors | 18c | 1,838$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.69 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors | 20c | 1,835$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.96 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0d…7435backed Warriors | 20c | 1,804$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.2 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…9afabacked Warriors | 17c | 1,776$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.13 | 73 | 13.7%10 W · 63 L | -11.3wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Warriors | 21c | 1,774$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.16 | 290 | 40.3%117 W · 173 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Warriors | 19c | 1,773$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.06 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Warriorsthis page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.