NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb18470eb206dc2084b904e7de690d9852e19406868e0682250fd8fa42cde6d29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Cavaliers, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $407,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $431,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $407,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 323 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Warriors | 52c | 44,283$22,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,448.51 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 41,308$20,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,260.85 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8293…ddf4backed Cavaliers | 50c | 29,911$14,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,947.25 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cavaliers | 48c | 21,898$10,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,543.6 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Warriors | 50c | 21,335$10,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,667.67 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers | 52c | 19,387$10,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,117.58 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors | 51c | 18,441$9,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,054.39 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…263dbacked Warriors | 51c | 17,792$9,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,637.18 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Warriors | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,759.99 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Warriors | 52c | 10,118$5,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,902.71 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…6312backed Cavaliers | 48c | 10,092$4,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,844 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…7b56backed Cavaliers | 48c | 9,695$4,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,653.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Warriors | 51c | 9,244$4,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,529.56 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 51c | 8,160$4,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,009.59 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cavaliers | 46c | 7,596$3,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,514.61 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Warriors | 50c | 7,500$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750.08 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Cavaliers | 49c | 7,340$3,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,566.65 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfccc…6479backed Cavaliers | 48c | 7,067$3,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,392.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Warriors | 52c | 6,981$3,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,350.99 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Warriors | 52c | 6,007$3,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,883.21 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…6d6bbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 5,935$2,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,908.2 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Warriors | 52c | 5,370$2,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,577.96 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f6…8cecbacked Warriors | 52c | 5,335$2,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.67 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 5,052$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,477.68 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Warriors | 51c | 4,979$2,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.79 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 4,320$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.38 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x372b…1ad8backed Cavaliers | 48c | 4,037$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Cavaliers | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.97 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf657…0677backed Cavaliers | 48c | 3,914$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…ffbbbacked Cavaliers | 57c | 3,665$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,074.8 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Warriors | 52c | 3,529$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.09 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Warriors | 58c | 3,384$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.15 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Warriors | 49c | 3,254$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.63 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Warriors | 52c | 3,000$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.99 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Cavaliers | 51c | 2,922$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.2 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Cavaliers | 49c | 2,841$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.44 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Cavaliers | 42c | 2,359$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Warriors | 51c | 2,349$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.6 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Warriors | 52c | 2,243$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.18 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 2,163$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.78 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Cavaliers | 51c | 2,159$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.09 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Warriors | 52c | 2,158$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.84 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Warriors | 52c | 2,080$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.36 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Warriors | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a85…4612backed Warriors | 52c | 1,868$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.49 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,855$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.02 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…f06fbacked Warriors | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f24…9141backed Cavaliers | 42c | 1,091$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77e8…6854backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,088$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.24 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,084$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.89 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Warriors | 47c | 999.92$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.96 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Warriors | 52c | 971.78$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.46 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Warriors | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 969.4$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.01 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Warriors | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.25 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Cavaliers | 47c | 932.54$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.44 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Warriors | 63c | 918.99$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.61 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 794.43$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.22 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cavaliers | 50c | 776$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Warriors | 52c | 757.54$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.62 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…e8a8backed Cavaliers | 52c | 745.21$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 49c | 736.34$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.53 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Cavaliers | 35c | 714.11$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.26 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Warriors | 52c | 706.06$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.91 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Cavaliers | 48c | 636.77$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.22 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Cavaliers | 48c | 605$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.4 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Cavaliers | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 218 | 48.2%105 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 579.38$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.1 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Warriors | 52c | 546.79$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.46 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Warriors | 52c | 538.05$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.22 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Warriors | 52c | 524.82$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.91 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Warriors | 53c | 521.86$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.27 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers | 47c | 504$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.88 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Warriors | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Warriors | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Warriors | 59c | 486.71$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.17 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Warriors | 59c | 482.3$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.74 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Warriors | 50c | 470.67$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.13 | 110 | 33.6%37 W · 73 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 466.58$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.47 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Cavaliers | 44c | 411.84$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.21 | 574 | 44.1%253 W · 321 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Cavaliers | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Cavaliers | 49c | 395.51$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Warriors | 50c | 388.56$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.57 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…44c1backed Cavaliers | 49c | 387.76$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Cavaliers | 49c | 387.76$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Warriors | 79c | 376.71$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.56 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Cavaliers | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73b4…44d0backed Warriors | 52c | 369.8$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.51 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cavaliers | 48c | 366.86$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.74 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927a…f706backed Warriors | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Warriors | 51c | 362.09$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.68 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Cavaliers | 47c | 354.28$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.06 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Warriors | 55c | 331.24$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.3 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3748…a41abacked Warriors | 52c | 324.98$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Warriors | 52c | 321.47$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.3 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…030abacked Warriors | 49c | 316.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.67 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…e0e9backed Warriors | 53c | 311.71$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.5 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Warriors | 52c | 307.35$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.53 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…83e6backed Warriors | 52c | 302.58$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.24 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. WarriorsCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.