NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf13571db7e969c4866f7bb67c9ba752751956ac7e044e69fc183184e0081c4c5

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $39,401
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $39,355

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,401 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1e77…8c33backed Over	53c	19,218$10,266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,952.61	159	52.8%84 W · 75 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	46c	16,393$7,588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,587.82	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Over	53c	3,415$1,806 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,608.83	111	37.8%42 W · 69 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	53c	2,643$1,405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,237.74	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	46c	2,027$932 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$932.26	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under	47c	1,801$846 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$846.4	316	43.4%137 W · 179 L	-18.0wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over	56c	1,359$756 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$602.46	404	51.5%208 W · 196 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under	47c	1,156$544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$543.76	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under	46c	1,046$481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.16	149	40.9%61 W · 88 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under	47c	1,022$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.15	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Under	44c	1,000$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	272	41.9%114 W · 158 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under	46c	837$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.02	197	45.2%89 W · 108 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under	69c	719.76$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	658	72.8%479 W · 179 L	+46.1wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	52c	634.46$332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$302.59	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under	48c	554.99$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.4	447	40.7%182 W · 265 L	-27.5wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under	51c	399.48$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.55	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	43c	382.94$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.66	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc7…1af9backed Over	78c	378.66$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.59	57	47.4%27 W · 30 L	-4.5wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	35c	378.46$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.77	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over	49c	357.11$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.13	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Under	51c	291.18$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.5	216	53.7%116 W · 100 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	33c	251.16$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.14	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Under	45c	227.04$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.83	293	44.4%130 W · 163 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under	47c	212.76$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	43c	208.62$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.62	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over	54c	194.48$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.46	1,151	53.7%618 W · 533 L	-41.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4efc…6391backed Over	53c	194.36$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.35	58	53.4%31 W · 27 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x891f…f851backed Over	51c	180.24$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.32	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	-6.5wins	-0.18per pick	50cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over	50c	178$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over	55c	176.91$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.61	611	51.4%314 W · 297 L	+17.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over	55c	176.91$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.61	350	52.6%184 W · 166 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over	55c	176.91$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.61	516	47.5%245 W · 271 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under	50c	161.06$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.53	342	47.7%163 W · 179 L	-8.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	45c	150$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.5	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over	50c	149.67$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.3	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under	46c	124$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.04	568	43.8%249 W · 319 L	-25.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over	35c	109.79$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.94	251	50.6%127 W · 124 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Under	18c	106.52$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.17	404	40.1%162 W · 242 L	+12.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under	47c	103$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.41	653	49.9%326 W · 327 L	+20.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	690	49.4%341 W · 349 L	-30.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over	49c	98.68$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.33	492	49.8%245 W · 247 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Under	23c	98$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.54	330	30.9%102 W · 228 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Over	54c	90.04$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.42	119	46.2%55 W · 64 L	-6.0wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under	46c	79.51$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.58	806	53.6%432 W · 374 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	46c	74.98$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.12	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under	29c	70.6$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.6	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x838a…0815backed Over	52c	67.98$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.63	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Over	47c	67.96$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.68	295	56.6%167 W · 128 L	+10.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under	23c	66$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.18	786	39.2%308 W · 478 L	+27.5wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Over	53c	65.98$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.01	238	40.8%97 W · 141 L	-16.0wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Over	54c	64.83$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.82	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under	48c	60.6$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.09	410	38%156 W · 254 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…4648backed Under	48c	60$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	166	51.2%85 W · 81 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	55c	57.51$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.51	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26e8…1c01backed Over	54c	56.06$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.79	74	51.4%38 W · 36 L	-6.8wins	-0.09per pick	61cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under	23c	53$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.19	455	44.8%204 W · 251 L	+21.8wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3da3…c75fbacked Over	50c	43.96$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.98	50	34%17 W · 33 L	-8.1wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over	33c	43.27$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.81	268	39.2%105 W · 163 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f7a…2488backed Under	47c	40.66$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.11	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-5.2wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x9dbf…3ef8backed Under	49c	39.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	49	36.7%18 W · 31 L	-5.7wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7762…0188backed Under	47c	38.73$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.2	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under	47c	38.01$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.98	1,264	45.8%579 W · 685 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under	46c	37.77$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.4	935	43.6%408 W · 527 L	-32.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over	53c	36.67$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.24	227	56.8%129 W · 98 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd66e…b743backed Over	53c	36.34$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.9	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a8c…880abacked Over	56c	34.76$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.29	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bc4…07e7backed Over	69c	34.09$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.54	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51b6…1903backed Over	51c	28.55$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.99	69	50.7%35 W · 34 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under	59c	28.45$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.78	175	53.7%94 W · 81 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over	54c	27.07$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.45	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over	53c	25.9$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.07	1,322	49.9%660 W · 662 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x239d…daebbacked Under	51c	24.43$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.46	112	42.9%48 W · 64 L	-7.0wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over	55c	24$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.8	717	52%373 W · 344 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under	50c	23.77$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.88	564	47.9%270 W · 294 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10f1…8466backed Under	50c	23.28$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.64	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a48…1688backed Under	50c	23.28$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.64	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under	47c	22.15$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.37	1,048	51.7%542 W · 506 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under	47c	21.97$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.41	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb855…c1bebacked Under	59c	18.34$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.82	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-31%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Over	56c	18.1$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.91	168	67.3%113 W · 55 L	+13.8wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under	71c	16.21$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.51	378	48.7%184 W · 194 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0ef…39b6backed Under	68c	14.71$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5this page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Cavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. WarriorsCavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5Under won
Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Draymond Green: Points O/U 8.5No won
Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5No won
James Harden: Points O/U 19.5No won
Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Warriors won
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Warriors won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event