NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe42e07afe42689ab03b988cd96eddbbc62b88517a6dab338424d1a5c3983e26c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $205,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $212,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 62c | 15,392$9,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,542.78 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 39c | 11,837$4,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,197.23 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Under | 1c | 10,800$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +170.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under | 1c | 9,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked Under | 1c | 9,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a4…ebccbacked Under | 3c | 6,170$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 6,030$3,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,002.78 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f18…9aa7backed Under | 2c | 5,750$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x929e…1715backed Under | 2c | 5,750$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4c…39c0backed Under | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Under | 2c | 4,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 2c | 4,300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 6cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 2c | 4,300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x691f…b933backed Under | 3c | 3,900$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 54c | 3,837$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.02 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Under | 3c | 3,800$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 43 | 7%3 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Under | 3c | 3,600$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…fe3bbacked Under | 1c | 3,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 44c | 3,364$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.03 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…247dbacked Over | 55c | 3,300$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…593ebacked Under | 4c | 3,300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +9.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +291%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x94ba…001dbacked Under | 4c | 3,300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Under | 2c | 2,900$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 1c | 2,700$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +7.9wins | +0.20per pick | 18cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…4d03backed Under | 2c | 2,570$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 47c | 2,566$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.58 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 2,375$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.22 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…2abfbacked Under | 2c | 2,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…c0c8backed Under | 2c | 2,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20a3…0fcabacked Under | 5c | 1,900$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Under | 2c | 1,900$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba3…9a44backed Under | 5c | 1,900$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 1,694$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 123 | 6.5%8 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab3…5e13backed Under | 1c | 1,684$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 56c | 1,531$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.74 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Over | 79c | 1,481$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.54 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Over | 67c | 1,450$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.32 | 158 | 63.9%101 W · 57 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed Under | 14c | 1,389$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.4 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Under | 4c | 1,360$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Under | 6c | 1,333$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 31c | 1,239$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.62 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 44c | 1,110$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.37 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked Under | 4c | 1,001$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…c148backed Under | 5c | 1,000$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 10cpaid | +150.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed Under | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 6cpaid | +428%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 80 | 2.5%2 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Under | 12c | 1,000$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 56c | 976.52$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.67 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 56c | 973.26$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.61 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 2c | 950$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 98 | 1%1 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 54c | 933.71$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.76 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 57c | 874.8$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.54 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 14c | 873.45$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.23 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…307dbacked Over | 57c | 854.56$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.46 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 57c | 843.96$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.62 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Under | 23c | 770$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.8 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed Under | 22c | 770$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.8 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 65c | 763.75$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 10c | 753.72$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.56 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 3c | 706.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Over | 58c | 699.45$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.77 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Under | 22c | 642$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.07 | 266 | 39.8%106 W · 160 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 46c | 636.3$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.77 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Under | 20c | 552$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.06 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 54c | 540.22$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 55c | 522.66$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.41 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 74c | 503.23$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.71 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Under | 9c | 500$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Over | 59c | 497.6$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.25 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Over | 37c | 492.66$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.52 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 31c | 474.83$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.63 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…9551backed Under | 19c | 473$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.58 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 457.42$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.01 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Under | 44c | 453.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.53 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ca23backed Over | 59c | 430.15$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Over | 53c | 419.56$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.19 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Under | 18c | 400$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 43c | 399.98$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.99 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Under | 24c | 379.26$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.78 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Over | 42c | 367.7$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.26 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 34c | 347.21$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.05 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 44c | 328.66$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.61 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 60c | 315.84$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.28 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 282.71$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.88 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 53c | 271.6$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.75 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Under | 47c | 267.22$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.59 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 67c | 262.41$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.92 | 21 | 95.2%20 W · 1 L | +6.8wins | +0.32per pick | 63cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 57c | 248.49$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.05 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Over | 50c | 246.38$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.01 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 60c | 244.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.89 | 107 | 64.5%69 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Under | 45c | 234.46$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.19 | 110 | 33.6%37 W · 73 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 51c | 234.25$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.42 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Over | 41c | 225.7$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.84 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Under | 46c | 215.78$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.26 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 55c | 205.81$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.24 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 47c | 203.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.87 | 218 | 43.6%95 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed Under | 17c | 202$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Under | 18c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. WarriorsCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.