TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x20a3…0fca

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: MLB, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.7
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$368
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.65
Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$264
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.26
Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$32
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick7cpaid+92.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+1,400%+$2,800
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.99
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.4
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.76
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+900%+$720
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.14
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.34
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Spread: Hungary (-1.5)backed Kazakhstan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Romania vs. Wales: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.31
Azerbaijan vs. Malta: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.15
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.22
Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.36
Colombia vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.96
Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+1,234.7%+$2,479.49
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick8cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Geneva Open: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Bebop - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Rodrigo Vera vs. Zhu Kangjie (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Zhu Kangjie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fredrikstad FK vs. IK Start: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.