MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94550c7520a71aa16e5bd0257632bb9b1ca58c5ae52ad29ecbde231d2828e4fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 44c | 3,179$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.27 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a3…0fcabacked Under | 6c | 2,800$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd19…3fb8backed Under | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79f7…ef5bbacked Under | 56c | 2,365$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.04 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 57c | 2,040$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.35 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 4c | 1,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…c0c8backed Under | 8c | 1,391$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.63 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Under | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.99 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 34c | 798$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.67 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 54c | 679.77$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.11 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed Under | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 75c | 437$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.51 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 55c | 416.36$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…556bbacked Under | 7c | 280$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 9.5%6 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 61c | 207.37$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.09 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2c…d911backed Under | 57c | 203.51$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.71 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 39c | 182.89$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.52 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…d64bbacked Under | 35c | 128.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 353 | 41.1%145 W · 208 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 43c | 95.26$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 55c | 85.74$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 55c | 79.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…6f8ebacked Under | 58c | 47.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd30f…eea0backed Under | 48c | 46.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfc…e101backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 45c | 35.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 46c | 32.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 56c | 30.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 53c | 28.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 74c | 26.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 54c | 21.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee BrewersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 12.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee BrewersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.