MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x415aa7f0e565e225f4e8b2a5d2b2384497588f5e7421ef5e7b9c4c9e9a7cb953
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 15,558$6,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,891.81 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…f1bfbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 5,500$3,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,135 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 4,487$2,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,571.65 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 4,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 2,492$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.85 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 2,006$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.33 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 1,782$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.87 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 1,415$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.47 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89da…a6c2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 1,349$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.24 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 1,187$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.9 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 1,150$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.5 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 1,065$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.07 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…8322backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 1,040$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.8 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 1,034$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.89 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…91debacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 1,001$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…f403backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 991.38$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.09 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 702.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.33 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 699.98$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.99 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 560.26$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.38 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…ea35backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 535.9$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 528.35$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.24 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 413.62$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.76 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 35c | 410.26$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.28 | 193 | 35.8%69 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…d62cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 336.44$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 320$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.6 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 249$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.48 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…4ee0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 228.57$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.57 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 205.75$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 172.19$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.01 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a73…df96backed Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 143.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 120.21$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.53 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 30c | 110.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 80.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.76 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 79.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.01 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5731…5bb9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 66.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…9166backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 46.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 459 | 52.9%243 W · 216 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 45.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 38.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 38.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 38.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 24.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 24.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 24.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…4e5bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee BrewersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 12.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee BrewersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.